Tuesday, March 31, 2009

March 31- Pure Profets Play of The Day

Utah Jazz @ Portland Trailblazers

Here we get a nice opportunity to wager against a team that remains to be overvalued by the betting public. Therefore we get a nice line to play. These teams are both very good teams at home while just not being able to get it done on the road. These teams are both in the hunt for the top Western playoff spot so the need for a win is there.

Of all of the Western Conference teams still in the playoff hunt, the Jazz have the worst road record of them all at 14-21. Recenlty they have been playing just plain bad, even when getting wins vs. teams like the lowly Knicks last night. The Jazz was up 23 at one point and let the Knicks take the lead in the 4th quarter. They did squeak out the win but it was very uninspiring. This falls into another trap for Utah. Playing 2 days in a row is horrific for Utah as they are 3-14 this season when this situation has come up.

Portland is now 30-7 at home this season, and a solid 15-2 in their last 17 games at the Rose Garden. There last 2 were 20 point victories so we don’t see much problem covering the spread here. Portland has been playing good ball and has momentum on their side. The Blazers are 12-4 ATS this season coming off a home win by 10 points or more so they have used momentum very effectively. They are also 16-4 ATS in home games after two or more wins over the last two years and that once again shows the momentum working in their favor.
I don’t get why the line is only Portland -6 here. The line was Portland -9 the last time the two played at the Rose Garden and the Blazers won by 14. Lets grab it low and ride a hot team to the bank.

Here are some of Pure Profets famous trends for you to follow:


Jazz are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.


Lets play these facts and beat up our sports books once again.

PURE PROFETS PLAY IS PORTLAND -6

Sunday, March 29, 2009

March 29th Pure Profets Play Of The Day

Another Over/Under winner last night. Lets keep the train rolling.

We would love to give everyone a play on the NCAA basketball games today but we found an opportunity in the NHL that we would hate for you to miss. We have an NHL total that fits into one of our systems that does not present itself too often, but when it does it has provided a truly impressive winning percentage.

Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers

There is a great match-up tonight between two of the top powerhouses in the Eastern Conference. The Bruin’s leading scorer, Phil Kessel is expected to miss a second consecutive game with an undisclosed injury, but his teammates responded in his absence last night with a 7-5 win in Toronto. People tend to forget about the defense through offense that Kessel provides. Boston needed to change their style to a more high paced game to defeat Toronto and I feel we can see that again tonight.

The Flyers had a tough game yesterday themselves rallying for a 4-3 shootout victory last night against the Islanders. Trailing by two entering the third period, Philadelphia scored three straight goals but allowed the Islanders to tie it at 3-3 before prevailing in the tiebreaker.

That is two tough, long, and high flying games these teams had yesterday. This leads to nothing but slow defense and more high scores.

Look at some of the trends for the O/U in this game:

  • Over is 7-1 in Bruins last 8 games following a win.
  • Over is 9-2 in Bruins last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 11-5 in Bruins last 16 overall.
  • Over is 7-0 in Flyers last 7 vs. Northeast.
  • Over is 21-8-1 in Flyers last 30 home games.

And my personal favorites:

  • Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 8-2 in Flyers last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.

It looks like another high scoring affair between these two teams so we will play the Over with confidence.

PURE PROFETS PLAY IS BRUINS/FLYERS OVER 5 1/2

Happy gambling and get in touch with us today at PureProfets@gmail.com for more winners and analysis.

PS. If you need an NCAA play we are leaning toward UNDER 164 1/2 in the N. Carolina/Oklahoma game

Saturday, March 28, 2009

March 28 - Pure Profets Play Of The Day

Missouri Tigers vs. Connecticut Huskies

This looks to be the game of the day as 2 great teams that have been playing inspired basketball come together in a clash for a trip to Detroit and the Final Four.

Both teams know how to score. Missouri is ranked 4th in overall scoring with 81.7 ppg. The Tigers just dismantled a talented Memphis team by running up and down the court on them. All five Mizzou starters scored in double figures as the Tigers shot 53.2 percent to break the century mark against the nation’s seventh-ranked scoring defense (58.8 ppg) and No. 1-ranked shooting defense (37.2 percent) winning 102-91. Huskies coach Jim Calhoun agrees as he said “What Missouri did to that defense is absolutely astounding. “They advertise it as the 40 fastest minutes in basketball and I’m a believer.”

Connecticut is no slouch in the scoring department either, averaging 78.4 ppg, good enough for the 17th ranked offense in the country. With tremendous 7′3″ center Haseem Thabeet tapping in a ton of easy points under the basket and UConn’s rebounding, ranked #1 the country, we see a ton of points in this game.

The over for Missouri is on a plethora of hot streaks, including 9-1 in the Tournament, 15-7 in non-conference clashes, 7-0 with the Tigers catching points in the Tournament and 8-2 when the Tigers are a neutral-site ‘dog’. UConn is also on a bundle of “over” runs, including 6-1 in the Tournament, 4-0 against the Big 12, 21-8 on neutral floors and 14-4 as a neutral-site chalk.

We see a fun game to watch as they run up and down the floor piling up the points.

PURE PROFETS PLAY IS MISSOURI/UCONN OVER 150

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Friday, March 27, 2009

March 27th Pure Profets Play of The Day

Syracuse Orange vs. Oklahoma Sooners

There is no hotter team in the tournament right now than the Orange. They went on an inspired run in the Big East tourney and have peaked at the perfect time of year. The Orange have lost just once in their last 10 games and that just happened to be to top overall seed Louisville in the Big East Championship game. That game was also their 3rd in 3 nights including 7 overtime periods! They actually were leading Louisville at the half but ran out of steam down the stretch. You have to give them a little slack for wear and tear in that one.

Oklahoma does have a future NBA star in Blake Griffin but their talent depth ends there. After his injury toward the end of the regular season the Sooners went 2-6, even with Griffin playing in 4 of those games. Griffin’s biggest strength is his rebounding, but he will be hard pressed against a Syracuse team that is 15th in the nation in rebounds. Syracuse also plays solid 2-3 zone which will limit any presence inside.

Syracuse has a great, if underrated, guard in Johnny Flynn and Oklahoma will have no answer for his up tempo game. Oklahoma’s guards are inexperienced and turnover prone including 21 against Mizzou, 19 against Oklahoma State, and even 15 against Morgan State in the 1st round of the tourney. Huge edge here for the Orange.

Let’s also look at head coaching. Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim vs. Oklahoma’s Jeff Capel. Boeheim has much more experience and has always been a big game coach. Capel is good but unproven in big games like this as was exposed in the Sooners Big 12 season with loses to Texas, Kansas, and the same Mizzou team that Syracuse beat. Edge here goes to the Orange.

We can also look at the conference comparison in this matchup. If you haven’t realize that the Big East is the cream of the crop this year you must be living under a rock. Look at the top teams in this tourney and you will see that Syracuse played against much better competition than Oklahoma all season long. Syracuse has wins over Memphis, UConn, Marquette, Kansas and West Virginia to name a few. These Big East battles make the Orange a tested team ready to take the next step.

The smart money has been coming in on Syracuse in this game moving them from 1 point dogs to 1 point faves. We will follow the smart money all the way to the bank on this one.

PURE PROFETS PLAY ON SYRACUSE ORANGE -1

*for more plays and analysis email us direct at: PureProfets@gmail.com

Thursday, March 26, 2009

March 26th - Pure Profets Play of the Day

NCAA Basketball
MEMPHIS / MISSOURI TOTAL OVER 141

Missouri is a team that likes to push the ball as they come in averaging 81.5 ppg (5th in Nation) on 47.3% shooting (33rd). Memphis is also a solid scoring team, as they average 74.7 ppg (60th), including averaging 73.8 in their neutral site games and 71.8 ppg in their last 5 overall.

Memphis has one of the best defenses in the nation as they allow just 57.6 ppg overall but they have allowed 70 points in each of their 1st 2 tourney games and neither of those teams possessed the offense that Missouri has. Look for both teams to push the ball and do what they do best SCORE. Both teams are more than capable of hitting 70 in this one, and that will make it an easy over here. Easily in the 150’s.

PURE PROFETS PLAY IS:

MISSOURI/MEMPHIS OVER 141