July 30 - After a long extra inning game look toward the Over in the next game

You must always be looking at the recap and box score of every MLB game to find rare situations to take advantage of. One of those has presented itself tonight and sharp bettors have already started moving the line.

LA Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals

These two teams played a marathon game last night ending with an Albert Pujols RBI single with 2 outs in the bottom of the 15th inning to give the Cardinals a 3-2 victory. Both teams had several chances in extra innings in a game that lasted 4 hours, 53 minutes and included 453 pitches. Combined the teams went through 13 pitchers to throw that tremendous amount of pitches. To put it simply, the bullpens are spent! Now they have to come back out tonight and face eachother again relying on starting pitchers to get them late into the game. Problem is neither pitcher is known for that.

Julio Lugo trots home victoriously after Albert Pujols sends a shot over the center fielder in the 15th inning.

While everything has been going the Cardinals' way in this series, they haven't had much luck with scheduled starter Kyle Lohse (4-6, 4.35 ERA) on the mound lately. Lohse is just 1-6 with a 5.44 ERA in his last nine starts, with the Cardinals winning just once in that span.
In Lohse's loss to Philadelphia on Saturday, he needed 90 pitches to throw just four innings. The right-hander allowed three runs, four hits and three walks in his third start since missing 4 1/2 weeks with a right forearm strain. Injuries never help a starter get far into the game.


Los Angeles counters with Hiroki Kuroda (3-5, 4.57). He brings in an even worse 5.78 ERA over his last 4 starts. Asian pitchers always seem to tire after the All Star break and Kuroda is no different and getting even worse. The Dodgers offense has been in a slump but had plenty of opportunities to break out of it Wednesday, but they left 15 runners on base. This team has good hitters and when they get going can put up a lot of runs.


Lets win today's bet by not taking either team but take Over the total that sharp bettors have already started to move. The line started at 8 and is already up to 9 at this point. Lock it in before the bookmakers move it up another half.


PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:


LA DODGERS/ST LOUIS CARDINALS OVER 9


Good luck as always and lets go watch a slugfest.

July 29 - Look for 2 teams that are solid Under plays, playing against eachother

The winning continues, but of course betting on baseball always makes it interesting. We were counting on Roy Oswalt of the Astros to get us late into the game keeping the Cubs off the board. Unlucky for all he had to be taken out of the game in the second inning with a back injury and is now headed for the DL. The game turned into a high scoring one but the hot Astros got us plenty of runs to get the win and our free advice has fattened our followers wallets once again. Tonight we look at 2 more good pitchers and will look to bet on the Over/Under spread.

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

Sometimes they make it easy and we look straight to the Total instead of betting a side. No team plays below the total more than the Detroit Tigers - except the Texas Rangers. The total has been Under in Detroit's last seven games, during which the Tigers are averaging only 2.6 runs. Longer trends include 15 of the last 17 and 21 of the last 25 going under the total. Overall, the under is 61-35-2 in Detroit's games this season. Sounds great for an under but that is only the second-best mark.

In games involving the Texas Rangers this season the Under is 61-32-4. Texas is averaging just 3.6 runs in its last 12 games, and the under is 11-0-1 in that stretch. Since June 5th, Rangers games have had a 33-10-1 mark for the Under. Great trends.

Tonight it only gets better as we have a mound matchup of Justin Verlander and Scott Feldman. Two starting pitchers who have not given up more than three earned runs since July 1st. Verlander (11-5, 3.12 ERA) is 2-1 with an 0.78 ERA in his last three starts. He pitched his third complete game of the season Friday against the White Sox, allowing only one unearned run and six hits in the 5-1 victory. The Tigers have won both of Verlander's starts against the Rangers this season and his record is 1-0 in those outings with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched. This improves his record to 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last five starts against these Texas Rangers.

For the Rangers we get Scott Feldman (9-3, 3.59). The right-hander has compiled a 2.48 ERA while winning four of his last five starts. He pitched eight innings against Kansas City last Friday, allowing just four hits in a 2-0 victory. On offense the Rangers look to be without Ian Kinsler who had to be removed from the game yesterday with a hamstring injury.

If you need any more trends:

-Under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.

-Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

-Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 during game 3 of a series.

-Under is 5-1 in Verlanders last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

-Under is 24-4-2 in Rangers last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

-Under is 8-1 in Feldmans last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 6-1 in Feldmans last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
-Under is 11-2 in Feldmans last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

This is just too much to ignore and we will take the generous 8 1/2 number.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

TEXAS RANGERS/DETROIT TIGERS UNDER 8 1/2

*for more info and plays email PureProfets@gmail.com

July 28 - After an extra inning MLB game, bet against a starting Pitcher coming off the DL

Another winner for you yesterday as the surging Yankees smashed the Rays and extended their post All Star game record to 10-1. AJ Burnett pitched a great game as expected and the Yankee bats are still rolling giving us an easy baseball winner.


Tonight we look toward 2 teams that played a long game last night and focus on how their bullpens will fare in the day after that game.


Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs




It took a walk off grand slam from Alfonso Soriano in the 13th inning last night to get them by the Houston Astros. The score was tied 1-1 until that point. Good pitching performances but the Cubs used 5 relievers to get them to that point. That could hurt when you are relying on a starter that is just coming off the DL.

The Cubs plan to activate Ryan Dempster (5-5, 4.09) from the disabled list to start Tuesday. The right-hander fractured his right big toe hopping over the dugout railing to go on the field and celebrate a win over Milwaukee on July 5. He was originally expected to miss a month, but is rushing his return which gets us gamblers a great opportunity to go against him tonight.

In his last six games against Houston the Cubs have lost all but one. They gave Dempster nine runs of support in the lone win and totaled three over 31 innings of the five defeats. No support equals no wins, especially when he is not expected to pitch far into the game and the bullpen is hurting.

The Astros will send Roy Oswalt to the bump with his 6-4 record and ERA of 3.66 on the season. He will face a Cubs team that is ranked 25 in hitting, averaging .252 at the plate. Oswalt is 4-2 on the road with an ERA of 3.37. He is also 15-4 (+10.9) during the second half of the season the last two years and 23-4 (+18.3) when facing a winning team. The Astros have won their last 5 games that Oswalt has started and he is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA over his last six outings.

Lets go with the better pitcher that will go deeper into the game and get our readers another win.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

HOUSTON ASTROS -102


*for more info and plays email PureProfets@gmail.com

July 27 - Riding the hot team is the way to go in MLB betting....sometimes.

Another rookie starting pitcher bit us in the butt last night as Minnesota and Andy Swarzak were able to hold the hot L.A. Angels to 1 lonely run while the Twins offense came alive and put up 10 runs. At least we were able to get some money back with the Over bet.

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

Have to get the pick up early today since I will be away from the computer tomorrow to do some scouting. The odds on this game seem way to low for 2 teams going in opposite directions. The Yankees have been on fire after the All Star break opening up a 6 1/2 game lead over the 3rd place Rays. The Rays have not been able to get some much needed wins as NY and Boston are showing that they are ready for the playoffs now.

Rock solid A.J. Burnett starts for the Yankees. He has won his last 5 games all against teams with winning records. He is in the form he needs to be in and will have little trouble shutting down a Rays offense that has had trouble putting runs up on the board as of late. The Yankee offense has truly been clicking especially Texiera who is showing why he deserves the money he is being paid.

Tampa Bay limps back home and gets to have James Shields on the mound but unfortunately for them he is on only 4 days of rest. He is 3 -7 in his last 10 with only 4 days rest. He definitely has not been the same dominant pitcher he was last year and now gets to face a team he has historically had trouble with. The Rays are 1 -7 in Shields last 8 starts vs. the Yankees.

Some Pure Profets trends:
-Yankees are 14-2 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
-Yankees are 12-2 in Burnett's last 14 starts as a favorite.
-Rays are 1-7 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. Yankees.

Lets ride the trends and make some money on a Monday

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

NY YANKEES - 110

*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com

July 26 - Finding a team with injuries that are not holding them back

Another winner last time out with the Phantastic Phillies. Even laying the 1 1/2 runs was no problem for them over the horrible San Diego Padres. There are many ways to make money gambling out there. Just take the time to do the research and you will find them. Today we have a dominant team playing a truly slumping team and will ride the tide to another winning bet.

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels

We are able to get some good odds to bet today due to a few injuries that have not been hurting the streaking Angels at all. Despite injuries to designated hitter Vladimir Guerrero and outfielders Torii Hunter and Juan Rivera, Los Angeles has had no shortage of offense, averaging 7.8 runs while batting .320 during their eight-game winning streak.

Starting pitcher Ervin Santana (3-5, 6.79), will try to win his third start in a row this afternoon. Coming off a 16-win season, Santana has had two stints on the disabled list this year giving us the opportunity to help keep the money line odds down. The right-hander showed signs that he might be coming around in his final start before the All-Star break, allowing one run and three hits in eight innings of a 6-2 win over Oakland on July 16.

While everything seems to be going the Angels' way, Minnesota's 10-game road trip cannot end fast enough. The Twins have been outscored 39-14 during a four-game losing streak and are 3-6 on the trip. They've lost five in a row in Anaheim and are trying to avoid suffering a four-game sweep there for the first time in franchise history. They are just playing bad baseball right now.

Rookie Anthony Swarzak (2-3, 4.15 ERA), will make his first career start versus the Angels today but may be walking right into the buzzsaw that is the Los Angeles Angels on thier current streak. Swarzak is only in Minnesota's starting rotation right now due to the injured Kevin Slowey (strained right wrist). He has not proven himself to be a quality major league starter as of yet so we will go with the 1st place Angels to continue thier streak.

Here are some more Pure profets trends for you to consider:

-Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
-Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
-Angels are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts during game 4 of a series.
-Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
-Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
-Twins are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Los Angeles.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHIEM -140

*for more info and picks email PureProfets@gmail.com

July 23 - How to lower odds to make a MLB game playable

Don't you hate it when you are handicapping and find a team that you believe will win easily, but then you look at the money line and it is at a ridiculous number where you will be risking a good chunk of money just to win your usual amount? This happens a lot in MLB baseball after the All Star break. Bookmakers know that bettors will bet heavily on the good teams no matter what the cost. Here we very rarely lay over -150. So how do you get around this? Run lines! If you feel confident that a team will win big, you can bet that they will win by 2 runs and lower the odds dramatically.

San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies' longest winning streak in 18 years may be over, but the 10-game run was enough to give them a nice cushion atop the NL East. Philadelphia (53-39) will try to shake off its first loss in more than two weeks Thursday night when it welcomes in the last-place Padres for the makeup of an April rainout. A game against the Padres is a good way to get another winning streak started.

The fighting Phillies have averaged 5.7 runs during the streak while allowing just 2.6 runs to their opponents. Holding the Padres (37-58) off the scoreboard hasn't been a challenge for anyone lately. San Diego has scored more than three runs just once in its last 13 games, and Wednesday was shut out for the ninth time.

Cole Hamels (5-5, 4.72 ERA) will get the start Thursday for Philadelphia. Hamels is not having as successful a year as last year but has been pretty good as of late. The left-hander gave up one run and four hits over five innings in a rain-shortened outing Friday at Florida.

Kevin Correia (6-7, 4.34) will get the ball for San Diego. He is actually one of their better pitchers but has not had much success against the Phillies giving up four runs and 10 hits over 4 1/3 innings - including homers to Howard and Chase Utley - in a 5-3 loss to the Phillies back on June 1.

Here are some Pure Profets trends to sway your decision:

-Padres are 15-36 in their last 51 overall.

-Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

-Padres are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East.

-Phillies are 11-1 in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
-Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

-Phillies are 23-5 in Hamels' last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

-Padres are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

With all this going for them we feel very confident that the Phillies will win and win big. The straight money line on the game is Phillies -275, but if we give up 1 1/2 runs we can get the line down to Phillies -120. That gets us some good value on the Phillies.

We will go with the Phanatic.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - 1 1/2 runs -120

*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com

July 22 - Starting Pitching is most important in handicapping baseball

Well we learned a lesson yesterday. When a starting pitcher is hot, DO NOT go against him. Wandy Rodriguez held the powerful St. Louis cardinals offense to 1 measly run as his Astros cruised to victory. It was an underdog value play for us so it does not hurt too bad. Today we will go back to focusing on the main part of handicapping MLB baseball. Starting Pitching!

Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox

Tampa Bay (52-42), has been a motivated team lately and will try to improve to 5-1 on its 10-game trip following another come-from-behind victory last night. After rallying in all three games in a sweep at Kansas City, the Rays won for the eighth time in 11 games Tuesday as they got to White Sox closer Bobby Jenks in the 9th inning. Motivation and energy go a long way in baseball. Teams on a roll tend to play better and have the ability to come from behind and get you a win.

Tonight the Rays send out right-hander James Shields (6-6, 3.75 ERA). He is a good strikeout pitcher. We told you recently how this type of pitcher performs even better than normal in night games.

The White Sox on the other hand send out Carlos Torres in his major league debut due to John Danks having to miss his start with an injury. Rookie call ups do not perform well usually when called up in this type of situation.

Pure Profets Play Of The Day:

Tampa Bay Rays -130

July 21 - Searching for value in MLB odds

We get another win to add to the streak. Our baseball total bet got a little interesting when Mets starting pitcher Nieve got hurt running out a ground ball in the 2nd inning and had to be removed from the game. The Mets bullpen proceeded to give up 6 runs to make it interesting, but Braves starter Javier Vazquez held up his end and only allowed one run on the night keeping the total under 8 1/2 for us to cash another bet. We are glad you have been following our plays and winning, now TELL YOUR FRIENDS!

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros

Scrolling through the odds today we see a lot of big money lines that as you have already learned we like to stay away from. Baseball is sometimes a little too unpredictable to lay big money even with a very good baseball team. On the other hand when you find a big underdog that is a great team and rarely a dog at all, you have to jump on it.

The St. Louis Cardinals are a 1st place team in the NL Central and are somehow getting a money line of +145 at some bookmakers. That is too good of a chance to pass up. Throw in the fact that the Cards have 2 time MVP Albert Pujols on their side and I can't see why they are so undervalued here. Pujols is having a career season, leading MLB with 34 HRs and 90 RBIs. He was only 1 for 3 with a single in yesterday's loss which is a bad day for him. He rarely has 2 underperforming days in a row. Starter Todd Wellemeyer (7-7, 5.56) is well rested and will make his first start in almost two weeks for St. Louis. Facing Houston for the first time this season, Wellemeyer has pitched well against them in the past with a 1.42 ERA in three starts versus the Astros lifetime.

The Astros are 3rd in the NL Central, 3 games behind the Cardinals after last nights 3-2 win. Tonight they bring Wandy Rodriguez (9-6 2.81 ERA) to the hill who has been pitching good but way over his head lately. Wandy has a career ERA of 4.46 and has only had one winning season in his career as of yet. I feel the Cardinals bring him back down to his usual role as a serviceable but average starting pitcher tonight. Lets take the long odds and get a big payday.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +145

*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com

July 19 - How to bet a total in baseball and a free pick

Keeping the winning bets coming. We did it again last night with the Seattle Mariners. Jarrod Washburn came through as expected giving up only one run through 6 2/3 innings with the bullpen shutting down the Indians the rest of the way for a 3-1 victory.

As I said before this is the best time to gamble on baseball as players and teams have already shown their colors through the first half and are still trying to get it done before big trades and September call-ups. Today we will look at another way to make money on baseball. Betting totals.

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves

Betting on totals in baseball is a very underused, but great way to make good money gambling. Baseball totals are just like the totals for any other sport, in that you're betting the total number of points (runs in this case) is either over or under the bookmaker's predicted total. When the odds on the money line are too steep for you on a game, look toward the total if you like a starting pitcher but not the offense of a team.

In tonight's Mets-Braves game we have 2 successful starting pitchers along with 2 teams that just do not put a lot of runs on the board, especially for them. Neither team has a record above .500 which shows they usually can't get enough runs on the board for a win.

For Atlanta we have strikeout pitcher Javier Vazquez (6-7, 2.95). Strikeout pitchers for some reason typically perform better in night games and are a solid under play. If fewer batters are hitting the ball there are fewer chances for men on base and fewer chances for runs to score. Some pitchers just don't get the run support from their teammates either. Vazquez is 2-3 over his last eight starts despite a 1.96 ERA. The Braves have given him an average of 1.8 runs to work with over that span. In his last outing on July 7, the Braves lineup gave him just enough to earn the win in a 2-1 victory over the Chicago Cubs. He gave up one run and five hits while striking out six in seven innings.

In a similar situation, Fernando Nieve (3-3, 3.03 ERA) will take his turn in the Mets' rotation Sunday. The right-hander has lost his last three starts, getting a total of one run of offensive backing during that stretch. He has been a bright spot for the slumping Mets, being turned into a quality starting pitcher after starting the season in the bullpen. After expecting a good season, we try to give the Mets the benefit of the doubt due to the injuries they have had to their batting order all season. For today's game injuries to Carlos Beltran (knee), Carlos Delgado (hip), Jose Reyes (calf) and Gary Sheffield (hamstring) will keep them out of the lineup.

Here are some Pure Profets trends to help with your play:
-Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
-Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
-Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 when opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Under is 8-0 in Braves last 8 games following a loss.
-Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Under is 9-2-1 in Braves last 12 games as a home favorite.
-Under is 8-0 in Vazquez's last 8 starts overall.
-Under is 9-1 in umpire Marvin Hudson's last 10 Sunday games behind home plate.

We see a good low scoring game here today and will play the best trending bet that is on the board.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

METS/BRAVES UNDER 8 1/2

*for more info and plays email us at pureprofets@gmail.com

July 18 - Good starting pitching wins games.

It is a beautiful sunny Saturday here in New York. I was at the Yankees/Tigers game last night that had to go into a rain delay in the bottom of the 8th with the Yankees up 5-3, do to a severe thunderstorm. I waited a while but when the rain looked like it would never let up, I got out of there with 45,000 other fans. As I got home about an hour and a half later I put on the TV to see that they actually never called the game and Mariano Rivera had to come in to shut the Tigers down in the 9th. I am surprised they waited it out but those fans who stayed behind at least got to move up to the front rows to see future Hall of Famer Rivera get yet another save.

Tonight we will move to the central US in hopes of a game with no rain.

Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians

I think we are getting some real favorable odds here today as a last place team hosts a starting pitcher having a great year. The awful Indians are 36-55 on the season and have not been showing any signs of life even with Grady Sizemore coming back off the DL. They have dropped 19 of their last 26 games since mid-June while posting a 6.01 staff ERA in those games.

Tonight the tribe trots out Tomo Ohka (0-3, 6.40) who will again look for his first win since April 29, 2007. The right-hander was out of the majors last season and has been mostly ineffective this year. Ohka is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA in two starts against Seattle and hasn't faced them since 2001 while playing with Boston. he is another of those Japanese pitchers that looks pretty good for his first season but then proves to be pretty bad once teams have a scouting report on him. He allowed five runs in 3 2-3 innings of a 10-1 defeat to Detroit on Sunday.

Pitching for Seattle tonight on the other hand is comeback player Jarrod Washburn. Washburn (6-6, 2.96 ERA) lost at least 14 games in each of his first three years in Seattle, but he developed a new sinker coming into this season and has compiled the AL's fifth-best ERA at the All-Star break. He's been especially effective lately. After pitching a one-hit shutout against Baltimore on July 6, he allowed one run and four hits in seven innings of last Saturday's 4-1 win over Texas. He is in a contract year and is proving that he wants to be a high value free agent this off-season.

Some Pure Profets trends for you:

- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.

-Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

-Indians are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
-Indians are 0-4 in Ohkas last 4 starts.

-Mariners are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Starting pitching is a key element in baseball handicapping and profitable bettors will always ride the better pitcher in a game especially when the odds are not too heavy against him. We will jump on this train tonight and rely on Washburn to get us another victory.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

SEATTLE MARINERS -115

*for more info and picks email us at PureProfets@gmail.com

July 17 - Friday night and on a roll. Another MLB winner

Well we were at it again last night with a big win by the Milwaukee Brewers as the underdog. I love it when the bookmakers have the wrong team as the dog and it gives us an opportunity to make a nice profit. Prince fielder came through with a nice 3 run HR to get things started and the Brew Crew never looked back.

Prince hitting a HR in a video game just like yesterday

It's Friday night and every team is back to baseball after their All Star break. This gives us a lot of games to choose from, but as I said yesterday, there are some high odds out there scaring us away from some teams. Don't worry though, Pure Profets has found another winner for you that has some great line value.

Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics

Here we have a 1st place team being undervalued against a 4th place team in the same division just because of a couple of injuries. But they neglect the fact that players on good teams always seem to step up and shine when their teammates are unable to play. Los Angeles (50-37) is without Torii Hunter (strained adductor) and Vladimir Guerrero (strained knee), but has won four straight since the sluggers were placed on the disabled list last Friday. One key reason is the play of Kendry Morales who has six RBIs in the last four games and is on a 16 game hitting streak. Like I said, players step up.

The Oakland A's (37-50) lost for the 12th time in 18 games and continue to sputter offensively. The A's are last in the AL with a .245 batting average and their 363 runs are the third fewest in the league. This is not a good baseball team that has been relying on over-the-hill players that are just not getting it done. Jason Giambi is batting .191 on the season and will be replaced bu Nomar Garciaparra in tonight's game. Orlando Cabrera has been a decent hitter as of late but his fielding range is severely limited at his advanced age which is no help to a poor pitching staff. Rookie Trevor Cahill (5-8, 4.67), who is 0-3 with an 11.37 ERA in his last three outings takes the mound tonight. Cahill did not last past the fourth inning in the first two losses of that stretch, and gave up four runs over 5 1-3 innings July 8 in a 5-4 loss at Boston.

With the win last night, Los Angeles improved to 4-2 against Oakland this year and 3-0 on the road. The Angels scored 27 runs in those games. I see more of the same here.

Here of some of our Pure Profets trends for you to consider:

-Angels are 11-2 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
-Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games.
-Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
-Angels are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
-Athletics are 26-56 in their last 82 vs. a team with a winning record.
-A's are 16-36 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in the previous game.
-Angels are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oakland.
-Angels are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts vs. Athletics.

So lets continue the winning ride tonight.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

LOS ANGELES ANGELS +100


*for more info and picks email us at Pureprofets@gmail.com

July 16 - Start the 2nd half with an underdog MLB winner!

Welcome back all. Baseball is back and the 2 days of year when there are no sports to wager on are past us (Those 2 days are the day before and the day after the MLB All Star break, good trivia question). This time of year is great to bet on baseball as top teams are usually heavily favored over teams that are flying low on the betting public's radar. This is a wonderful opportunity for some value betting.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

The Milwaukee Brewers were atop the NL Central with 10 games to go before the break. Unfortunately for them they ran into a stretch of good teams before the break facing the Cubs, Cardinals and hot Dodgers and only managing a 3-7 record and falling 2 1/2 games back of the Cards. This is fortunate for us because now they are undervalued against an inferior Cincinnati Reds team. Milwaukee should be able to turn things around with a favorable schedule over the next two weeks. After the Cincinnati series, the Brewers play Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Washington and San Diego. Those opponents own five of the seven worst records in the NL.

Milwaukee has had little trouble beating the Reds lately, outscoring Cincinnati 46-21 in winning five of the last six meetings.

Cincinnati was just two games out of first place July 4, but lost six of its next eight to fall five games behind the Cardinals. This is a cold team without much breakout potential. To open the second half, manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to young Homer Bailey (1-0, 5.16 ERA). He was just called up again from the minors on June 27th. Bailey will not be new to the Brewers though as he made two starts against them last season, going 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA. Fans are high on Homer Bailey but this is not a good spot for him.

Milwaukee counters with former Mets reliever turned starter, Braden Looper (7-4, 4.94). Looper has already won two home starts against the Reds this season. He gets the momentum of Prince Fielder's Home Run Derby win and also returning All Star Ryan Braun.

Here are some Pure Profets trends for you:
-Brewers are 6-1 in Loopers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
-Reds are 0-7 in Baileys last 7 home starts.
-Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

So lets take the value here and go with the better team as the dog just because they are away vs. a 'well promoted' young starting pitcher.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

MILWAUKEE BREWERS +115
(*offered at Pinnacle.com)

*for more info and picks email us at PureProfets@gmail.com

July 15 - All Star game recap. MVP?

Well I hope you all made some more money with our play in the American League in the MLB All Star game last night. Enjoy it but here we are. Another day with absolutely nothing to wager your hard earned winnings on, unless you can handicap WNBA women's basketball. Not for me. So lets talk about MLB All Star game.

Another good game that actually had everyone watching until the end. I am all for the game deciding which league has home field advantage in the World Series, even if that does mean it will always be the American League. The players seem to play harder, and the managers manage it like a real game (except for the annoying substitutions). How great was it to see Charlie Manuel give an intentional walk to Victor Martinez with a man on third base, and then have it backfire as 1st time All Star Adam Jones got the run in anyway with a deep sac fly to right.

Did you see Curtis Granderson's triple? Did you make the connection to the commercial that aired featuring Granderson hitting a triple and sliding into third with the same head first slide? Coincidence? I believe a triple is the most exciting play in baseball so it was good to see. Granderson could have even been awarded the MVP award for the big hit and then scoring the winning run. That honor went to Carl Crawford, who had only one little single on the day but perhaps saved the game with his home run robbing catch off the bat of Brad Hawpe in the seventh inning. Crawford became the first non-pitcher to win the MVP with no RBIs since Willie Mays in 1968.

Here is the catch!

I guess there was really no stand out star in the game, but a full team effort that led to a great game to watch that actually means something. The AL has come from behind in four straight years and in my eyes has proved to be the dominant league of the 00's.

We will be back tomorrow evening with some more baseball for you to gamble on. Till then, go spend some time with your family or something. There is only so much Sportscenter you can watch when there is not a sport to watch.

July 14 - MLB All Star Game

The American League is on an 11 game winning streak in baseballs mid-summer classic. Why should this streak end now? The American League has stronger pitchers than their counterparts, and has always been known for its dominant hitters. The AL should win this one going away.


PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY

AMERICAN LEAGUE -120

Gambling on the Home Run Derby?

Back again. Sorry for not having a free pick for you sports fanatics yesterday. Sundays are tough as we have to get all our picks out to our clients early and most of the games started by 1:00 pm. (Way to early when there are night games the day before.) It is supposed to be a day of rest and we end up working the hardest.

Today is one of the rarest days in sports handicapping as there is not one game in any of the 4 major sports. So where can we find a gambling opportunity? Well there is always the home run derby.... I guess.

Albert Pujols is the favorite at +100. But why wouldn't he be? Pujols is dominating the league this year with 32 homers already, the Home Run derby is in his home stadium, and he was the runner-up in 2003 and reached the semi-finals in 2007. Albert has never reached the 50 homer plateau in a season but is on pace for 59 this year in what could be the campaign of his career.

Ryan Howard is the second pick and likely only real challenger. Howard did win the Home Run derby in 2006 and host St. Louis is his hometown so of course he will want to put on a show for these fans. He is capable of a huge performance even in a down year on pace to hit only 42 homers after 3 seasons in a row with 47+. Howard is listed at +300 on many betting sites.

Another possibility would be Prince Fielder. he did hit 50 HR's in 2007 but slipped to 34 last year. This season he is on pace for over 40 dingers. he appeared in the 2007 derby but was eliminated in the first round. He is young though at only 25 and still evolving. He is listed at +500 by some bookmakers.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

So to sum it up, if you need action (like we all do) it depends on what kind of bettor you are. If you like betting safe favorites, Albert Pujols is a very solid bet and one I would make with no qualms. If you prefer to put some risk in your bets for the promise of a higher payout I feel Prince Fielder has a legitimate shot if he doesn't blow his wad too early and tire out his rather large frame. At +500 he is a worthy bet to add some action and possibly a nice payday to your betting bankroll.

Enjoy the show and feel free to share your thoughts. For more info and picks email us at pureprofets@gmail.com

July 11th- Keeping the winning streak alive in MLB handicapping

Another winning baseball pick for free for you yesterday. The Rangers Scott Feldman tried to scare us by giving up 2 runs in the 1st inning but that was all he gave up as he had another quality start to get the win. His Texas teammates picked up the slack, 6 runs, and got him and, our followers, the victory.
Of course Pure Profets has another free winner for you today as we find another game where the odds are way too good for us.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

Here we get another great starting pitcher that the betting public has not picked up on yet. The Toronto Blue Jays Ricky Romero (7-3, 2.96 ERA) has been very impressive in his rookie season especially after coming back from a strained oblique early in the season. Over his last seven outings Romero has gone 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA.
We should see more of the same today against a Baltimore Orioles team that has struggled mightily against lefties this season, averaging just 4 runs per game and a batting average right above .200

Baltimore on the other hand has to turn to Rich Hill (3-2, 7.43) with Jeremy Guthrie suffering from a viral infection and out for the game. The Orioles were planning to let Hill skip his final start before the All-Star game and get evaluated by some doctors. Something is wrong with him as he is 0-1 with a 13.15 ERA in his last three outings. He also gave up six earned runs over 3 1/3 innings back on May 27 against these same Blue Jays.

Baltimore will also be without manager Dave Trembley, who is finishing up a two-game suspension for his actions following an ejection Tuesday in Seattle. This just makes it easier for our pick.

A few more winning trends for you:
-Blue Jays are 5-0 in Romero's last 5 starts.
-Orioles are 14-42 in their last 56 vs. American League East.
-Blue Jays are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.
-Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games with umpire Mike DiMuro behind home plate.

PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
TORONTO BLUE JAYS - 115 (at Sportsbook.com)

*for more info and picks email us at pureprofets@gmail.com

July 10th - Another free baseball winner for you.

Well it wasn't quite the way we expected it but we won again yesterday with our free pick. Some early errors led to a high scoring baseball game but the Florida Marlins put up a huge 10 run inning for us and we will take it to the bank. I say it again, baseball is a great but crazy sport to bet on. Tonight we have another free sports pick for you as we find some baseball value again.

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

Here we have a gambling opportunity where we get to take more than just stats into the betting equation. Baseball, in particular, is more than just a game of stats due to the fact that teams play just about every day for a long 162 game season. Trends, momentum, fatigue, and letdowns have to be carefully considered in every baseball handicapping decision.

The Mariners avoided a third straight loss and beat Texas for the first time in six tries this season due to the late inning heroics of Franklin Gutierrez and his 3-run homer in the 8th. When your team is counting on this it is not a good recipe for success. The Mariners also have Beltre, Betancourt, and Sweeney currently on the DL. Where is their hitting going to come from? Gutierrez? C'mon!

The Texas Rangers send out Scott Feldman who is having a very good season while remaining under the radar. Feldman has a 7-2 record on the season with an ERA under 4.00
The Mariners have to rely on converted reliever Brandon Morrow to get them through this game. He does not have a win on the season as a starter or reliever. Texas is a great hitting team and will pounce on him early and often.

Here are some trends to consider:

Rangers are 9-1 in their last 10 Friday games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Rangers are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with Seattle. (1st loss coming yesterday)
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 1-4 in Morrows last 5 starts.
Mariners are 0-5 in Morrows last 5 starts as an underdog.

With all this to take into account I think we see a major letdown from the Mariners tonight and the Texas Rangers getting back to their winning ways as they try to increase their lead in the division while the 2nd place Angels are in NY playing the Yankees.

PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY IF THE DAY:
TEXAS RANGERS - 110

*for more info and picks email us direct at pureprofets@gmail.com

July 9th - MLB value play of the day

We have a great play for you tonight to make some gambling profits. Baseball is an easy game to handicap when you look at the lines and odds that bookmakers put up sometimes. Search for value in all your plays and eliminate laying higher odds than you need to.

Florida Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

The Florida Marlins open a four-game series on Thursday night against the surging Arizona Diamondbacks, who are looking to extend their longest winning streak of the season to six games. But they may be running into a buzzsaw in a strong Florida Marlin baseball team that has Hanley Ramirez back in their lineup after a four game absence.

Yusmeiro Petit (0-3, 8.46 ERA) will try to extend Arizona's recent success after struggling in his first start in nearly two months his last time out. Petit gave up four runs and five hits in the three innings he lasted against Colorado on Saturday. Arizona did go on to win the game 11-7 saving Petit from adding yet another loss to his 0-3 record on the season.

For the Marlins we have Andrew Miller taking the mound. He is 1-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three career starts against the Diamondbacks. He pitched seven innings against them on May 21, allowing two runs and four hits over seven innings with nine strikeouts, but didn't factor in the 4-3 loss.

Here are some team stats for you to consider:
-Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
-Marlins are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass.
-Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
-Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Bottom Line: Florida is a much better team than Arizona when they have Hanley Ramirez in the lineup, and Miller is a much better pitcher than Petit. The Diamondbacks can't stay hot for that long and are due for a huge letdown game.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
Florida Marlins +101

*always search for the best odds out there, especially in baseball. Get +101 on the Marlins at Pinnacle and Bet Phoenix

-email us today for more info and picks at pureprofets@gmail.com

We're back !!!

Ok so we took a little blogging break to get focused on the business side of making money in sports betting.... and we did pretty damn well. Business is booming, profits are booming, and we are booming with joy to share our secrets with even more people that want to make money gambling on sports.
Over the next couple of days we will get back to daily blogging and giving you our Pure Profets Play Of The Day. Enjoy and spread the word. Let's help everyone get back at their booking.