Tuesday, March 31, 2009

March 31- Pure Profets Play of The Day

Utah Jazz @ Portland Trailblazers

Here we get a nice opportunity to wager against a team that remains to be overvalued by the betting public. Therefore we get a nice line to play. These teams are both very good teams at home while just not being able to get it done on the road. These teams are both in the hunt for the top Western playoff spot so the need for a win is there.

Of all of the Western Conference teams still in the playoff hunt, the Jazz have the worst road record of them all at 14-21. Recenlty they have been playing just plain bad, even when getting wins vs. teams like the lowly Knicks last night. The Jazz was up 23 at one point and let the Knicks take the lead in the 4th quarter. They did squeak out the win but it was very uninspiring. This falls into another trap for Utah. Playing 2 days in a row is horrific for Utah as they are 3-14 this season when this situation has come up.

Portland is now 30-7 at home this season, and a solid 15-2 in their last 17 games at the Rose Garden. There last 2 were 20 point victories so we don’t see much problem covering the spread here. Portland has been playing good ball and has momentum on their side. The Blazers are 12-4 ATS this season coming off a home win by 10 points or more so they have used momentum very effectively. They are also 16-4 ATS in home games after two or more wins over the last two years and that once again shows the momentum working in their favor.
I don’t get why the line is only Portland -6 here. The line was Portland -9 the last time the two played at the Rose Garden and the Blazers won by 14. Lets grab it low and ride a hot team to the bank.

Here are some of Pure Profets famous trends for you to follow:


Jazz are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.


Lets play these facts and beat up our sports books once again.

PURE PROFETS PLAY IS PORTLAND -6

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