Wow, the Yankees got it done and won us some money as well as increasing their division lead to a tremendous 6 1/2 games. The Boston Red Sox bullpen just keeps letting them down and the Yankees were there to capitalize. Another Free winner! Bet with confidence. Today we have a value bet that could earn our followers some nice profits.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
Here we have a division leading team that has been playing truly bad baseball as of late vs. a hot team that wants to cut into that division lead. The Giants look to send the Dodgers to their fourth straight defeat - and 11th in 16 games - as the rivals open a three-game series in San Francisco on Monday night. The Dodgers do not seem to be the same team that they were early in the season. The Dodgers won their first three meetings with the Giants this season but have dropped four of the last six six. They lost two of three in their first trip to AT&T Park from April 27-29.
The second half heat wave known as Jonathan Sanchez will start for the Giants. The left-hander has posted a 1.42 ERA while winning back-to-back starts. He held Houston to four hits while striking out eight in seven scoreless innings of an 8-1 victory Tuesday. Sanchez is 4-1 with a 3.26 ERA in nine games at AT&T Park, where he pitched the majors' first no-hitter of the season back on July 10. He has found his pitch and we would not want to be in the batters box for the Dodgers tonight.
Los Angeles will counter with Hiroki Kuroda (4-5, 4.44), who is 0-1 with a 4.79 ERA in four starts against San Francisco, all last year. Kuroda is 1-5 his last 6 on the road when facing a team with a winning record. We don't see him holding down the Giant offense tonight.
Some Pure Profets trends for you:
Dodgers are 18-37 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Dodgers are 3-9 in their last 12 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-1 in Sanchez's last 5 home starts.
Dodgers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco.
Lets back the home team and get some plus value for our play.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY:
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +110
*for more picks and info email pureprofets@gmail.com
Monday, August 10, 2009
Saturday, August 8, 2009
Aug 8 - Extra innings baseball games = Extra money next game
Another free pick winner for you last night with the Seattle Mariners. It did take them until extra innings to put away the Rays but they got it done and put some more profits in our account. Today we will look at another baseball game that went into extra innings last night and the effects it will have on today's game.
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
If you stayed up late last night you got to see an amazing baseball game between the Yanks and Sox. Great pitchers duel with Beckett and Burnett pitching phenomenal games. The game went to the 15th inning still tied at 0-0. Alex Rodriguez, who has not been a fan favorite in clutch situations, came through in the 15th with a 2 run home run to win it. He might be starting to win over the last holdouts that say he can not get it done in NY.
Boston used every single pitcher that they had available last night eventually relying on starting pitcher that they had called up from the minors that morning. This does not bode well for the Red Sox today.
Boston now goes up against powerhouse CC Sabathia (11-7, 3.95 ERA) in today's contest and counters with still unproven Clay Buchholz (1-1, 6.05) hoping for a better performance than his last one. The right-hander gave up seven runs in four innings Sunday, but he never trailed as the Red Sox totaled 14 runs in the first four innings of the 18-10 win at Baltimore.
Buchholz's only two starts against the Yankees came in April of last season. He didn't get a decision while posting a 7.45 ERA in those games, both Boston losses. We expect another one with him getting no help from the bullpen or his hitters.
Buchholz's only two starts against the Yankees came in April of last season. He didn't get a decision while posting a 7.45 ERA in those games, both Boston losses. We expect another one with him getting no help from the bullpen or his hitters.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY:
YANKEES - 1 1/2 RUNS (-105)
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Friday, August 7, 2009
Aug 7 - Look for Starting Pitchers who historically dominate a team
Not much time tonight but I wanted to get you a free pick that we feel strongly about.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
The fact that Tampa Bay has been playing good baseball is the only thing that has kept this line down. The fact that they are traveling across the country to play against a pitcher they have not been good against will not help them though.
Fantastic Felix Hernandez (12-4, 2.78 ERA) is on the hill for Seattle tonight. The All-Star right-hander allowed four hits in seven innings of a 1-0 victory over Tampa Bay on April 23, to improve to 2-1 with a 2.15 ERA in six starts against the Rays. The Mariners have won 5 of the 6 games he has started against the Rays.
The Mariners send rookie Jeff Niemann to the mound. He has had a decent season so far but this is about the time that rookies start to wear down from the effects of a long major league baseball season. We also like the under in this game.
Some quick trends:
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Mariners are 6-0 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandezs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 9-1 in Hernandezs last 10 starts.
Sorry for the short analysis but -
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
SEATTLE MARINERS - 125
-BONUS PLAY - TAKE UNDER 8 IN THE GAME
enjoy your winnings. email us at pureprofets@gmail.com for more.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
The fact that Tampa Bay has been playing good baseball is the only thing that has kept this line down. The fact that they are traveling across the country to play against a pitcher they have not been good against will not help them though.
Fantastic Felix Hernandez (12-4, 2.78 ERA) is on the hill for Seattle tonight. The All-Star right-hander allowed four hits in seven innings of a 1-0 victory over Tampa Bay on April 23, to improve to 2-1 with a 2.15 ERA in six starts against the Rays. The Mariners have won 5 of the 6 games he has started against the Rays.
The Mariners send rookie Jeff Niemann to the mound. He has had a decent season so far but this is about the time that rookies start to wear down from the effects of a long major league baseball season. We also like the under in this game.
Some quick trends:
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Mariners are 6-0 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandezs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 9-1 in Hernandezs last 10 starts.
Sorry for the short analysis but -
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
SEATTLE MARINERS - 125
-BONUS PLAY - TAKE UNDER 8 IN THE GAME
enjoy your winnings. email us at pureprofets@gmail.com for more.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009
Aug 5 - Pitching changes validate a severe betting line move
Always make sure you are reading the latest updates when doing your baseball handicapping. Injuries, especially to starting pitchers can move the betting money line drastically. Be aware of all the angles that bookmakers use and you will be able to keep up with them and make some money off the slow ones.
Texas Rangers @ Oakland Athletics
Oakland's scheduled starter Dallas Braden has been removed from the lineup due to a rash on his left ankle causing swelling. (Really? That is the first time I heard of that one but then again this is the first year that social anxiety disorder has been a valid reason to go on the DL.) This has caused a drastic line change in fact changing the Rangers from being a visiting underdog to a road favorite. We feel this move is valid though.
Oakland will substitute with Chad Reineke, who makes his Athletics debut after he was acquired from San Diego on April 8. He has not pitched in the majors at all this season. Oakland (46-60) is not a good team this season and it looks like they are ready to throw in the towel. They will get their prospects some playing time at the expense of adding to their loss total.
Texas (59-46) entered this trip winner of 11 of 14, but has managed only two runs and 12 hits, in losing the first two games against last-place Oakland (46-60). In Tuesday's 6-0 defeat, the Rangers were held without a hit until the fifth inning. For a Texas team trying to make the playoffs for the first time since 1999, the start to the trip has been a disappointing one. For a top hitting team like Texas this will not continue.
Vicente Padilla has been very effective for Texas so far this season, and the only thing slowing down the veteran southpaw lately has been a bout of the swine flu. But Padilla has recovered and is ready to add to his nine quality starts (in 17 outings) he has already had for this team this season. Padilla has a 7-3 record with a 3.69 ERA over his last 12 starts and is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in seven starts on the road this season.
Take the veteran over the rookie any day.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
TEXAS RANGERS -115
*for more info on top plays email pureprofets@gmail.com
Tuesday, August 4, 2009
Aug 4 - Always play the Hot team over the Cold team in baseball if getting a good betting line.
We have a free pick on a game tonight where the betting line seems way off. How can the best team in baseball since the All Star break be an underdog to a team that has lost 7 in a row and is in a tail spin?
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnatti Reds
After stumbling through the first half of the season, the Cubs (56-48) have gone 20-10 since July 1 and an NL-best 13-5 since the All-Star break to move one percentage point ahead of the St. Louis Cardinals in the tough NL Central division race. While the Cubs have made an impressive turnaround, the Reds are watching their playoffs hopes vanish.
Cincinnati (45-60) has lost seven in a row and 13 of 14, going a major league-worst 5-21 since July 5 to go from two games out of first into a last-place tie with Pittsburgh, 11 1/2 off the division lead.
Chicago's offense has really started to click and that gives it the edge against baseball's coldest pitcher tonight. The Reds' Cueto had both the majors' worst ERA (8.16) and opponents' batting average (.355) last month. Teams have figured him out. The Reds are 1-4 in Cueto's last 5 starts vs. the Cubs.
Tom Gorzelanny is expected to make his debut for the Cubs tonite and I expect the team to rally behind him and give him plenty of run support. The Reds really struggle against lefty starters, averaging just 3.8 runs per game with a .249 batting average. The Cubs are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in their last 5 meetings with the Reds.
Pure Profets trends:
Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Cubs are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Reds are 6-22 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Reds are 3-13 in their last 16 games following a loss.
Cubs are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Bottom line, all signs point to the Cubbies.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
CHICAGO CUBS -EVEN
-lets take it to the bank
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnatti Reds
After stumbling through the first half of the season, the Cubs (56-48) have gone 20-10 since July 1 and an NL-best 13-5 since the All-Star break to move one percentage point ahead of the St. Louis Cardinals in the tough NL Central division race. While the Cubs have made an impressive turnaround, the Reds are watching their playoffs hopes vanish.
Cincinnati (45-60) has lost seven in a row and 13 of 14, going a major league-worst 5-21 since July 5 to go from two games out of first into a last-place tie with Pittsburgh, 11 1/2 off the division lead.
Chicago's offense has really started to click and that gives it the edge against baseball's coldest pitcher tonight. The Reds' Cueto had both the majors' worst ERA (8.16) and opponents' batting average (.355) last month. Teams have figured him out. The Reds are 1-4 in Cueto's last 5 starts vs. the Cubs.
Tom Gorzelanny is expected to make his debut for the Cubs tonite and I expect the team to rally behind him and give him plenty of run support. The Reds really struggle against lefty starters, averaging just 3.8 runs per game with a .249 batting average. The Cubs are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record and 5-0 in their last 5 meetings with the Reds.
Pure Profets trends:
Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Cubs are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Reds are 6-22 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Reds are 3-13 in their last 16 games following a loss.
Cubs are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Bottom line, all signs point to the Cubbies.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
CHICAGO CUBS -EVEN
-lets take it to the bank
Sunday, August 2, 2009
August 2 - Play hot home teams needing wins over teams that are coasting
There is some great baseball to be played now as teams strive to make the playoffs. Other teams have a nice lead and can afford to rest their stars and coast into the playoffs. Today's free pick will showcase a hot pitcher vs. one that has been on the downslide recently.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
The Braves have won 11 of their last 14 at home. Starting today is Jair Jurrjens (9-7, 2.69 ERA) who has won all three of his starts at Turner Field in that span, allowing one earned run and only six hits in 20 2/3 innings. With an offense that has been inconsistent for much of the year, Atlanta has relied on strong pitching - its 3.74 ERA ranks 4th lowest in the majors - to stay within striking distance in the NL East and wild-card races. Jurrjens has been perhaps the Braves' best pitcher this season, with his ERA leading the team's starters and ranking among the top six in the NL. The right-hander has been especially hot lately, going 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts overall. Jurrjens beat the Dodgers twice last year, allowing two runs and eight hits in 13 innings. He'll again face Los Angeles' Chad Billingsley after beating him in Atlanta's 9-3 victory July 8, 2008.
The Dodgers (64-40) aren't feeling much heat with a comfortable lead in the NL West, but Billingsley (10-6, 3.96) is under some pressure after his recent struggles. The right-hander won nine of his first 12 decisions and had a 2.72 ERA on June 14, but since then he's 1-3 with a 6.46 ERA in his last eight starts.
He allowed one hit through five shutout innings Tuesday against St. Louis, but gave up six runs and couldn't get out of the sixth in a 10-0 loss, walking a season-high six. This has been a habit for him, having that atrocious inning that basically gives the game away. Besides his loss to Jurrjens, Billingsley also lost to the Braves in his first start against them April 19, 2008. In the two outings, the right-hander walked nine and allowed nine earned runs in 10 1-3 innings.
Lets see if things stay the same and the Braves can do it again at home in prime time on ESPN.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY
ATLANTA BRAVES -135
*for more info email pureprofets@gmail.com
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
The Braves have won 11 of their last 14 at home. Starting today is Jair Jurrjens (9-7, 2.69 ERA) who has won all three of his starts at Turner Field in that span, allowing one earned run and only six hits in 20 2/3 innings. With an offense that has been inconsistent for much of the year, Atlanta has relied on strong pitching - its 3.74 ERA ranks 4th lowest in the majors - to stay within striking distance in the NL East and wild-card races. Jurrjens has been perhaps the Braves' best pitcher this season, with his ERA leading the team's starters and ranking among the top six in the NL. The right-hander has been especially hot lately, going 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts overall. Jurrjens beat the Dodgers twice last year, allowing two runs and eight hits in 13 innings. He'll again face Los Angeles' Chad Billingsley after beating him in Atlanta's 9-3 victory July 8, 2008.
The Dodgers (64-40) aren't feeling much heat with a comfortable lead in the NL West, but Billingsley (10-6, 3.96) is under some pressure after his recent struggles. The right-hander won nine of his first 12 decisions and had a 2.72 ERA on June 14, but since then he's 1-3 with a 6.46 ERA in his last eight starts.
He allowed one hit through five shutout innings Tuesday against St. Louis, but gave up six runs and couldn't get out of the sixth in a 10-0 loss, walking a season-high six. This has been a habit for him, having that atrocious inning that basically gives the game away. Besides his loss to Jurrjens, Billingsley also lost to the Braves in his first start against them April 19, 2008. In the two outings, the right-hander walked nine and allowed nine earned runs in 10 1-3 innings.
Lets see if things stay the same and the Braves can do it again at home in prime time on ESPN.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY
ATLANTA BRAVES -135
*for more info email pureprofets@gmail.com
Saturday, August 1, 2009
Aug 1 - MLB trade deadline is history. Now lets see how the pennant race shapes up.
A few big trades as the deadline approached but once again Roy Halladay is still a sad Toronto Blue Jay. Victor Martinez to the Red Sox might cause some problems as he is coming in to take the captain Jason Varitek's spot. We shall see. Today we will be quick with our pick and follow some betting trends.
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
We have 2 good pitchers going tonight in Texas. One a proven commodity and one young stud who has been showing the league what he is made of. Pitchers duel = low scoring game.
Felix Hernandez (11-4, 2.79 ERA), goes for the Mariners. He ranks among the league leaders in wins, ERA and strikeouts (139). The All-Star right-hander has been outstanding in 12 road starts, going 7-1 with a 1.91 ERA while fanning 80 in 84 2-3 innings.
The Rangers will give the ball to rookie Tommy Hunter (3-1, 2.00), who is looking to win a fourth consecutive decision. The 23-year-old right-hander is 3-0 with a 1.11 ERA in his last four starts, including a solid performance in a 3-1 loss at Seattle on July 9. In that outing, Hunter allowed four hits in six scoreless innings. He's won both of his starts since, yielding two runs and nine hits in 13 innings.
Sounds like a duel to me. Here are some Pure Profets trends:
Under is 9-0 in Mariners last 9 games as a road favorite.
Under is 14-2 in Mariners last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 12-2 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League West.
Under is 22-4-1 in Mariners last 27 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 Saturday games.
Under is 22-6 in Mariners last 28 games following a loss.
Under is 8-1 in Hernandez's last 9 starts as a favorite.
Under is 25-5-2 in Rangers last 32 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their last game.
Under is 21-5-2 in Rangers last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-0 in Hunters last 8 starts overall.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Umpire Darrell Cousins' last 4 games behind home plate.
Too many trends to ignore!
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
MARINERS/RANGERS UNDER 8 1/2
*for more picks and info email PureProfets@gmail.com
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers
We have 2 good pitchers going tonight in Texas. One a proven commodity and one young stud who has been showing the league what he is made of. Pitchers duel = low scoring game.
Felix Hernandez (11-4, 2.79 ERA), goes for the Mariners. He ranks among the league leaders in wins, ERA and strikeouts (139). The All-Star right-hander has been outstanding in 12 road starts, going 7-1 with a 1.91 ERA while fanning 80 in 84 2-3 innings.
The Rangers will give the ball to rookie Tommy Hunter (3-1, 2.00), who is looking to win a fourth consecutive decision. The 23-year-old right-hander is 3-0 with a 1.11 ERA in his last four starts, including a solid performance in a 3-1 loss at Seattle on July 9. In that outing, Hunter allowed four hits in six scoreless innings. He's won both of his starts since, yielding two runs and nine hits in 13 innings.
Sounds like a duel to me. Here are some Pure Profets trends:
Under is 9-0 in Mariners last 9 games as a road favorite.
Under is 14-2 in Mariners last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 12-2 in Mariners last 14 vs. American League West.
Under is 22-4-1 in Mariners last 27 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 Saturday games.
Under is 22-6 in Mariners last 28 games following a loss.
Under is 8-1 in Hernandez's last 9 starts as a favorite.
Under is 25-5-2 in Rangers last 32 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their last game.
Under is 21-5-2 in Rangers last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-0 in Hunters last 8 starts overall.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Umpire Darrell Cousins' last 4 games behind home plate.
Too many trends to ignore!
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
MARINERS/RANGERS UNDER 8 1/2
*for more picks and info email PureProfets@gmail.com
Thursday, July 30, 2009
July 30 - After a long extra inning game look toward the Over in the next game
You must always be looking at the recap and box score of every MLB game to find rare situations to take advantage of. One of those has presented itself tonight and sharp bettors have already started moving the line.
LA Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
LA Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
These two teams played a marathon game last night ending with an Albert Pujols RBI single with 2 outs in the bottom of the 15th inning to give the Cardinals a 3-2 victory. Both teams had several chances in extra innings in a game that lasted 4 hours, 53 minutes and included 453 pitches. Combined the teams went through 13 pitchers to throw that tremendous amount of pitches. To put it simply, the bullpens are spent! Now they have to come back out tonight and face eachother again relying on starting pitchers to get them late into the game. Problem is neither pitcher is known for that.
Julio Lugo trots home victoriously after Albert Pujols sends a shot over the center fielder in the 15th inning.
While everything has been going the Cardinals' way in this series, they haven't had much luck with scheduled starter Kyle Lohse (4-6, 4.35 ERA) on the mound lately. Lohse is just 1-6 with a 5.44 ERA in his last nine starts, with the Cardinals winning just once in that span.
In Lohse's loss to Philadelphia on Saturday, he needed 90 pitches to throw just four innings. The right-hander allowed three runs, four hits and three walks in his third start since missing 4 1/2 weeks with a right forearm strain. Injuries never help a starter get far into the game.
Los Angeles counters with Hiroki Kuroda (3-5, 4.57). He brings in an even worse 5.78 ERA over his last 4 starts. Asian pitchers always seem to tire after the All Star break and Kuroda is no different and getting even worse. The Dodgers offense has been in a slump but had plenty of opportunities to break out of it Wednesday, but they left 15 runners on base. This team has good hitters and when they get going can put up a lot of runs.
Lets win today's bet by not taking either team but take Over the total that sharp bettors have already started to move. The line started at 8 and is already up to 9 at this point. Lock it in before the bookmakers move it up another half.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
LA DODGERS/ST LOUIS CARDINALS OVER 9
Good luck as always and lets go watch a slugfest.
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
July 29 - Look for 2 teams that are solid Under plays, playing against eachother
The winning continues, but of course betting on baseball always makes it interesting. We were counting on Roy Oswalt of the Astros to get us late into the game keeping the Cubs off the board. Unlucky for all he had to be taken out of the game in the second inning with a back injury and is now headed for the DL. The game turned into a high scoring one but the hot Astros got us plenty of runs to get the win and our free advice has fattened our followers wallets once again. Tonight we look at 2 more good pitchers and will look to bet on the Over/Under spread.
Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers
Sometimes they make it easy and we look straight to the Total instead of betting a side. No team plays below the total more than the Detroit Tigers - except the Texas Rangers. The total has been Under in Detroit's last seven games, during which the Tigers are averaging only 2.6 runs. Longer trends include 15 of the last 17 and 21 of the last 25 going under the total. Overall, the under is 61-35-2 in Detroit's games this season. Sounds great for an under but that is only the second-best mark.
In games involving the Texas Rangers this season the Under is 61-32-4. Texas is averaging just 3.6 runs in its last 12 games, and the under is 11-0-1 in that stretch. Since June 5th, Rangers games have had a 33-10-1 mark for the Under. Great trends.
Tonight it only gets better as we have a mound matchup of Justin Verlander and Scott Feldman. Two starting pitchers who have not given up more than three earned runs since July 1st. Verlander (11-5, 3.12 ERA) is 2-1 with an 0.78 ERA in his last three starts. He pitched his third complete game of the season Friday against the White Sox, allowing only one unearned run and six hits in the 5-1 victory. The Tigers have won both of Verlander's starts against the Rangers this season and his record is 1-0 in those outings with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched. This improves his record to 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last five starts against these Texas Rangers.
For the Rangers we get Scott Feldman (9-3, 3.59). The right-hander has compiled a 2.48 ERA while winning four of his last five starts. He pitched eight innings against Kansas City last Friday, allowing just four hits in a 2-0 victory. On offense the Rangers look to be without Ian Kinsler who had to be removed from the game yesterday with a hamstring injury.
If you need any more trends:
-Under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.
-Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
-Under is 5-1 in Verlanders last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 24-4-2 in Rangers last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Under is 8-1 in Feldmans last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 6-1 in Feldmans last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
-Under is 11-2 in Feldmans last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
-Under is 6-1 in Feldmans last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
-Under is 11-2 in Feldmans last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
This is just too much to ignore and we will take the generous 8 1/2 number.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
TEXAS RANGERS/DETROIT TIGERS UNDER 8 1/2
*for more info and plays email PureProfets@gmail.com
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
July 28 - After an extra inning MLB game, bet against a starting Pitcher coming off the DL
Another winner for you yesterday as the surging Yankees smashed the Rays and extended their post All Star game record to 10-1. AJ Burnett pitched a great game as expected and the Yankee bats are still rolling giving us an easy baseball winner.
Tonight we look toward 2 teams that played a long game last night and focus on how their bullpens will fare in the day after that game.
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
It took a walk off grand slam from Alfonso Soriano in the 13th inning last night to get them by the Houston Astros. The score was tied 1-1 until that point. Good pitching performances but the Cubs used 5 relievers to get them to that point. That could hurt when you are relying on a starter that is just coming off the DL.
The Cubs plan to activate Ryan Dempster (5-5, 4.09) from the disabled list to start Tuesday. The right-hander fractured his right big toe hopping over the dugout railing to go on the field and celebrate a win over Milwaukee on July 5. He was originally expected to miss a month, but is rushing his return which gets us gamblers a great opportunity to go against him tonight.
In his last six games against Houston the Cubs have lost all but one. They gave Dempster nine runs of support in the lone win and totaled three over 31 innings of the five defeats. No support equals no wins, especially when he is not expected to pitch far into the game and the bullpen is hurting.
The Astros will send Roy Oswalt to the bump with his 6-4 record and ERA of 3.66 on the season. He will face a Cubs team that is ranked 25 in hitting, averaging .252 at the plate. Oswalt is 4-2 on the road with an ERA of 3.37. He is also 15-4 (+10.9) during the second half of the season the last two years and 23-4 (+18.3) when facing a winning team. The Astros have won their last 5 games that Oswalt has started and he is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA over his last six outings.
Lets go with the better pitcher that will go deeper into the game and get our readers another win.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
HOUSTON ASTROS -102
*for more info and plays email PureProfets@gmail.com
Tonight we look toward 2 teams that played a long game last night and focus on how their bullpens will fare in the day after that game.
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
It took a walk off grand slam from Alfonso Soriano in the 13th inning last night to get them by the Houston Astros. The score was tied 1-1 until that point. Good pitching performances but the Cubs used 5 relievers to get them to that point. That could hurt when you are relying on a starter that is just coming off the DL.
The Cubs plan to activate Ryan Dempster (5-5, 4.09) from the disabled list to start Tuesday. The right-hander fractured his right big toe hopping over the dugout railing to go on the field and celebrate a win over Milwaukee on July 5. He was originally expected to miss a month, but is rushing his return which gets us gamblers a great opportunity to go against him tonight.
In his last six games against Houston the Cubs have lost all but one. They gave Dempster nine runs of support in the lone win and totaled three over 31 innings of the five defeats. No support equals no wins, especially when he is not expected to pitch far into the game and the bullpen is hurting.
The Astros will send Roy Oswalt to the bump with his 6-4 record and ERA of 3.66 on the season. He will face a Cubs team that is ranked 25 in hitting, averaging .252 at the plate. Oswalt is 4-2 on the road with an ERA of 3.37. He is also 15-4 (+10.9) during the second half of the season the last two years and 23-4 (+18.3) when facing a winning team. The Astros have won their last 5 games that Oswalt has started and he is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA over his last six outings.
Lets go with the better pitcher that will go deeper into the game and get our readers another win.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
HOUSTON ASTROS -102
*for more info and plays email PureProfets@gmail.com
Sunday, July 26, 2009
July 27 - Riding the hot team is the way to go in MLB betting....sometimes.
Another rookie starting pitcher bit us in the butt last night as Minnesota and Andy Swarzak were able to hold the hot L.A. Angels to 1 lonely run while the Twins offense came alive and put up 10 runs. At least we were able to get some money back with the Over bet.
NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
Have to get the pick up early today since I will be away from the computer tomorrow to do some scouting. The odds on this game seem way to low for 2 teams going in opposite directions. The Yankees have been on fire after the All Star break opening up a 6 1/2 game lead over the 3rd place Rays. The Rays have not been able to get some much needed wins as NY and Boston are showing that they are ready for the playoffs now.
Rock solid A.J. Burnett starts for the Yankees. He has won his last 5 games all against teams with winning records. He is in the form he needs to be in and will have little trouble shutting down a Rays offense that has had trouble putting runs up on the board as of late. The Yankee offense has truly been clicking especially Texiera who is showing why he deserves the money he is being paid.
Tampa Bay limps back home and gets to have James Shields on the mound but unfortunately for them he is on only 4 days of rest. He is 3 -7 in his last 10 with only 4 days rest. He definitely has not been the same dominant pitcher he was last year and now gets to face a team he has historically had trouble with. The Rays are 1 -7 in Shields last 8 starts vs. the Yankees.
Some Pure Profets trends:
-Yankees are 14-2 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
-Yankees are 12-2 in Burnett's last 14 starts as a favorite.
-Rays are 1-7 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. Yankees.
Lets ride the trends and make some money on a Monday
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
NY YANKEES - 110
*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
Have to get the pick up early today since I will be away from the computer tomorrow to do some scouting. The odds on this game seem way to low for 2 teams going in opposite directions. The Yankees have been on fire after the All Star break opening up a 6 1/2 game lead over the 3rd place Rays. The Rays have not been able to get some much needed wins as NY and Boston are showing that they are ready for the playoffs now.
Rock solid A.J. Burnett starts for the Yankees. He has won his last 5 games all against teams with winning records. He is in the form he needs to be in and will have little trouble shutting down a Rays offense that has had trouble putting runs up on the board as of late. The Yankee offense has truly been clicking especially Texiera who is showing why he deserves the money he is being paid.
Tampa Bay limps back home and gets to have James Shields on the mound but unfortunately for them he is on only 4 days of rest. He is 3 -7 in his last 10 with only 4 days rest. He definitely has not been the same dominant pitcher he was last year and now gets to face a team he has historically had trouble with. The Rays are 1 -7 in Shields last 8 starts vs. the Yankees.
Some Pure Profets trends:
-Yankees are 14-2 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
-Yankees are 12-2 in Burnett's last 14 starts as a favorite.
-Rays are 1-7 in Shields' last 8 starts vs. Yankees.
Lets ride the trends and make some money on a Monday
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
NY YANKEES - 110
*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
July 26 - Finding a team with injuries that are not holding them back
Another winner last time out with the Phantastic Phillies. Even laying the 1 1/2 runs was no problem for them over the horrible San Diego Padres. There are many ways to make money gambling out there. Just take the time to do the research and you will find them. Today we have a dominant team playing a truly slumping team and will ride the tide to another winning bet.
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
We are able to get some good odds to bet today due to a few injuries that have not been hurting the streaking Angels at all. Despite injuries to designated hitter Vladimir Guerrero and outfielders Torii Hunter and Juan Rivera, Los Angeles has had no shortage of offense, averaging 7.8 runs while batting .320 during their eight-game winning streak.
Starting pitcher Ervin Santana (3-5, 6.79), will try to win his third start in a row this afternoon. Coming off a 16-win season, Santana has had two stints on the disabled list this year giving us the opportunity to help keep the money line odds down. The right-hander showed signs that he might be coming around in his final start before the All-Star break, allowing one run and three hits in eight innings of a 6-2 win over Oakland on July 16.
While everything seems to be going the Angels' way, Minnesota's 10-game road trip cannot end fast enough. The Twins have been outscored 39-14 during a four-game losing streak and are 3-6 on the trip. They've lost five in a row in Anaheim and are trying to avoid suffering a four-game sweep there for the first time in franchise history. They are just playing bad baseball right now.
Rookie Anthony Swarzak (2-3, 4.15 ERA), will make his first career start versus the Angels today but may be walking right into the buzzsaw that is the Los Angeles Angels on thier current streak. Swarzak is only in Minnesota's starting rotation right now due to the injured Kevin Slowey (strained right wrist). He has not proven himself to be a quality major league starter as of yet so we will go with the 1st place Angels to continue thier streak.
Here are some more Pure profets trends for you to consider:
-Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
-Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
-Angels are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts during game 4 of a series.
-Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
-Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
-Twins are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Los Angeles.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHIEM -140
*for more info and picks email PureProfets@gmail.com
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
We are able to get some good odds to bet today due to a few injuries that have not been hurting the streaking Angels at all. Despite injuries to designated hitter Vladimir Guerrero and outfielders Torii Hunter and Juan Rivera, Los Angeles has had no shortage of offense, averaging 7.8 runs while batting .320 during their eight-game winning streak.
Starting pitcher Ervin Santana (3-5, 6.79), will try to win his third start in a row this afternoon. Coming off a 16-win season, Santana has had two stints on the disabled list this year giving us the opportunity to help keep the money line odds down. The right-hander showed signs that he might be coming around in his final start before the All-Star break, allowing one run and three hits in eight innings of a 6-2 win over Oakland on July 16.
While everything seems to be going the Angels' way, Minnesota's 10-game road trip cannot end fast enough. The Twins have been outscored 39-14 during a four-game losing streak and are 3-6 on the trip. They've lost five in a row in Anaheim and are trying to avoid suffering a four-game sweep there for the first time in franchise history. They are just playing bad baseball right now.
Rookie Anthony Swarzak (2-3, 4.15 ERA), will make his first career start versus the Angels today but may be walking right into the buzzsaw that is the Los Angeles Angels on thier current streak. Swarzak is only in Minnesota's starting rotation right now due to the injured Kevin Slowey (strained right wrist). He has not proven himself to be a quality major league starter as of yet so we will go with the 1st place Angels to continue thier streak.
Here are some more Pure profets trends for you to consider:
-Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
-Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
-Angels are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts during game 4 of a series.
-Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
-Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
-Twins are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Los Angeles.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHIEM -140
*for more info and picks email PureProfets@gmail.com
Thursday, July 23, 2009
July 23 - How to lower odds to make a MLB game playable
Don't you hate it when you are handicapping and find a team that you believe will win easily, but then you look at the money line and it is at a ridiculous number where you will be risking a good chunk of money just to win your usual amount? This happens a lot in MLB baseball after the All Star break. Bookmakers know that bettors will bet heavily on the good teams no matter what the cost. Here we very rarely lay over -150. So how do you get around this? Run lines! If you feel confident that a team will win big, you can bet that they will win by 2 runs and lower the odds dramatically.
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
The Philadelphia Phillies' longest winning streak in 18 years may be over, but the 10-game run was enough to give them a nice cushion atop the NL East. Philadelphia (53-39) will try to shake off its first loss in more than two weeks Thursday night when it welcomes in the last-place Padres for the makeup of an April rainout. A game against the Padres is a good way to get another winning streak started.
The fighting Phillies have averaged 5.7 runs during the streak while allowing just 2.6 runs to their opponents. Holding the Padres (37-58) off the scoreboard hasn't been a challenge for anyone lately. San Diego has scored more than three runs just once in its last 13 games, and Wednesday was shut out for the ninth time.
Cole Hamels (5-5, 4.72 ERA) will get the start Thursday for Philadelphia. Hamels is not having as successful a year as last year but has been pretty good as of late. The left-hander gave up one run and four hits over five innings in a rain-shortened outing Friday at Florida.
Kevin Correia (6-7, 4.34) will get the ball for San Diego. He is actually one of their better pitchers but has not had much success against the Phillies giving up four runs and 10 hits over 4 1/3 innings - including homers to Howard and Chase Utley - in a 5-3 loss to the Phillies back on June 1.
Here are some Pure Profets trends to sway your decision:
-Padres are 15-36 in their last 51 overall.
-Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Padres are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
-Phillies are 11-1 in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
-Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Phillies are 23-5 in Hamels' last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
-Padres are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
With all this going for them we feel very confident that the Phillies will win and win big. The straight money line on the game is Phillies -275, but if we give up 1 1/2 runs we can get the line down to Phillies -120. That gets us some good value on the Phillies.
We will go with the Phanatic.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES - 1 1/2 runs -120
*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
July 22 - Starting Pitching is most important in handicapping baseball
Well we learned a lesson yesterday. When a starting pitcher is hot, DO NOT go against him. Wandy Rodriguez held the powerful St. Louis cardinals offense to 1 measly run as his Astros cruised to victory. It was an underdog value play for us so it does not hurt too bad. Today we will go back to focusing on the main part of handicapping MLB baseball. Starting Pitching!
Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay (52-42), has been a motivated team lately and will try to improve to 5-1 on its 10-game trip following another come-from-behind victory last night. After rallying in all three games in a sweep at Kansas City, the Rays won for the eighth time in 11 games Tuesday as they got to White Sox closer Bobby Jenks in the 9th inning. Motivation and energy go a long way in baseball. Teams on a roll tend to play better and have the ability to come from behind and get you a win.
Tonight the Rays send out right-hander James Shields (6-6, 3.75 ERA). He is a good strikeout pitcher. We told you recently how this type of pitcher performs even better than normal in night games.
The White Sox on the other hand send out Carlos Torres in his major league debut due to John Danks having to miss his start with an injury. Rookie call ups do not perform well usually when called up in this type of situation.
Pure Profets Play Of The Day:
Tampa Bay Rays -130
Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay (52-42), has been a motivated team lately and will try to improve to 5-1 on its 10-game trip following another come-from-behind victory last night. After rallying in all three games in a sweep at Kansas City, the Rays won for the eighth time in 11 games Tuesday as they got to White Sox closer Bobby Jenks in the 9th inning. Motivation and energy go a long way in baseball. Teams on a roll tend to play better and have the ability to come from behind and get you a win.
Tonight the Rays send out right-hander James Shields (6-6, 3.75 ERA). He is a good strikeout pitcher. We told you recently how this type of pitcher performs even better than normal in night games.
The White Sox on the other hand send out Carlos Torres in his major league debut due to John Danks having to miss his start with an injury. Rookie call ups do not perform well usually when called up in this type of situation.
Pure Profets Play Of The Day:
Tampa Bay Rays -130
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
July 21 - Searching for value in MLB odds
We get another win to add to the streak. Our baseball total bet got a little interesting when Mets starting pitcher Nieve got hurt running out a ground ball in the 2nd inning and had to be removed from the game. The Mets bullpen proceeded to give up 6 runs to make it interesting, but Braves starter Javier Vazquez held up his end and only allowed one run on the night keeping the total under 8 1/2 for us to cash another bet. We are glad you have been following our plays and winning, now TELL YOUR FRIENDS!
St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
Scrolling through the odds today we see a lot of big money lines that as you have already learned we like to stay away from. Baseball is sometimes a little too unpredictable to lay big money even with a very good baseball team. On the other hand when you find a big underdog that is a great team and rarely a dog at all, you have to jump on it.
The St. Louis Cardinals are a 1st place team in the NL Central and are somehow getting a money line of +145 at some bookmakers. That is too good of a chance to pass up. Throw in the fact that the Cards have 2 time MVP Albert Pujols on their side and I can't see why they are so undervalued here. Pujols is having a career season, leading MLB with 34 HRs and 90 RBIs. He was only 1 for 3 with a single in yesterday's loss which is a bad day for him. He rarely has 2 underperforming days in a row. Starter Todd Wellemeyer (7-7, 5.56) is well rested and will make his first start in almost two weeks for St. Louis. Facing Houston for the first time this season, Wellemeyer has pitched well against them in the past with a 1.42 ERA in three starts versus the Astros lifetime.
The Astros are 3rd in the NL Central, 3 games behind the Cardinals after last nights 3-2 win. Tonight they bring Wandy Rodriguez (9-6 2.81 ERA) to the hill who has been pitching good but way over his head lately. Wandy has a career ERA of 4.46 and has only had one winning season in his career as of yet. I feel the Cardinals bring him back down to his usual role as a serviceable but average starting pitcher tonight. Lets take the long odds and get a big payday.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +145
*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros
Scrolling through the odds today we see a lot of big money lines that as you have already learned we like to stay away from. Baseball is sometimes a little too unpredictable to lay big money even with a very good baseball team. On the other hand when you find a big underdog that is a great team and rarely a dog at all, you have to jump on it.
The St. Louis Cardinals are a 1st place team in the NL Central and are somehow getting a money line of +145 at some bookmakers. That is too good of a chance to pass up. Throw in the fact that the Cards have 2 time MVP Albert Pujols on their side and I can't see why they are so undervalued here. Pujols is having a career season, leading MLB with 34 HRs and 90 RBIs. He was only 1 for 3 with a single in yesterday's loss which is a bad day for him. He rarely has 2 underperforming days in a row. Starter Todd Wellemeyer (7-7, 5.56) is well rested and will make his first start in almost two weeks for St. Louis. Facing Houston for the first time this season, Wellemeyer has pitched well against them in the past with a 1.42 ERA in three starts versus the Astros lifetime.
The Astros are 3rd in the NL Central, 3 games behind the Cardinals after last nights 3-2 win. Tonight they bring Wandy Rodriguez (9-6 2.81 ERA) to the hill who has been pitching good but way over his head lately. Wandy has a career ERA of 4.46 and has only had one winning season in his career as of yet. I feel the Cardinals bring him back down to his usual role as a serviceable but average starting pitcher tonight. Lets take the long odds and get a big payday.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +145
*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
Sunday, July 19, 2009
July 19 - How to bet a total in baseball and a free pick
Keeping the winning bets coming. We did it again last night with the Seattle Mariners. Jarrod Washburn came through as expected giving up only one run through 6 2/3 innings with the bullpen shutting down the Indians the rest of the way for a 3-1 victory.
As I said before this is the best time to gamble on baseball as players and teams have already shown their colors through the first half and are still trying to get it done before big trades and September call-ups. Today we will look at another way to make money on baseball. Betting totals.
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Betting on totals in baseball is a very underused, but great way to make good money gambling. Baseball totals are just like the totals for any other sport, in that you're betting the total number of points (runs in this case) is either over or under the bookmaker's predicted total. When the odds on the money line are too steep for you on a game, look toward the total if you like a starting pitcher but not the offense of a team.
In tonight's Mets-Braves game we have 2 successful starting pitchers along with 2 teams that just do not put a lot of runs on the board, especially for them. Neither team has a record above .500 which shows they usually can't get enough runs on the board for a win.
For Atlanta we have strikeout pitcher Javier Vazquez (6-7, 2.95). Strikeout pitchers for some reason typically perform better in night games and are a solid under play. If fewer batters are hitting the ball there are fewer chances for men on base and fewer chances for runs to score. Some pitchers just don't get the run support from their teammates either. Vazquez is 2-3 over his last eight starts despite a 1.96 ERA. The Braves have given him an average of 1.8 runs to work with over that span. In his last outing on July 7, the Braves lineup gave him just enough to earn the win in a 2-1 victory over the Chicago Cubs. He gave up one run and five hits while striking out six in seven innings.
In a similar situation, Fernando Nieve (3-3, 3.03 ERA) will take his turn in the Mets' rotation Sunday. The right-hander has lost his last three starts, getting a total of one run of offensive backing during that stretch. He has been a bright spot for the slumping Mets, being turned into a quality starting pitcher after starting the season in the bullpen. After expecting a good season, we try to give the Mets the benefit of the doubt due to the injuries they have had to their batting order all season. For today's game injuries to Carlos Beltran (knee), Carlos Delgado (hip), Jose Reyes (calf) and Gary Sheffield (hamstring) will keep them out of the lineup.
Here are some Pure Profets trends to help with your play:
-Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
-Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
-Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 when opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Under is 8-0 in Braves last 8 games following a loss.
-Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Under is 9-2-1 in Braves last 12 games as a home favorite.
-Under is 8-0 in Vazquez's last 8 starts overall.
-Under is 9-1 in umpire Marvin Hudson's last 10 Sunday games behind home plate.
We see a good low scoring game here today and will play the best trending bet that is on the board.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
METS/BRAVES UNDER 8 1/2
*for more info and plays email us at pureprofets@gmail.com
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Betting on totals in baseball is a very underused, but great way to make good money gambling. Baseball totals are just like the totals for any other sport, in that you're betting the total number of points (runs in this case) is either over or under the bookmaker's predicted total. When the odds on the money line are too steep for you on a game, look toward the total if you like a starting pitcher but not the offense of a team.
In tonight's Mets-Braves game we have 2 successful starting pitchers along with 2 teams that just do not put a lot of runs on the board, especially for them. Neither team has a record above .500 which shows they usually can't get enough runs on the board for a win.
For Atlanta we have strikeout pitcher Javier Vazquez (6-7, 2.95). Strikeout pitchers for some reason typically perform better in night games and are a solid under play. If fewer batters are hitting the ball there are fewer chances for men on base and fewer chances for runs to score. Some pitchers just don't get the run support from their teammates either. Vazquez is 2-3 over his last eight starts despite a 1.96 ERA. The Braves have given him an average of 1.8 runs to work with over that span. In his last outing on July 7, the Braves lineup gave him just enough to earn the win in a 2-1 victory over the Chicago Cubs. He gave up one run and five hits while striking out six in seven innings.
In a similar situation, Fernando Nieve (3-3, 3.03 ERA) will take his turn in the Mets' rotation Sunday. The right-hander has lost his last three starts, getting a total of one run of offensive backing during that stretch. He has been a bright spot for the slumping Mets, being turned into a quality starting pitcher after starting the season in the bullpen. After expecting a good season, we try to give the Mets the benefit of the doubt due to the injuries they have had to their batting order all season. For today's game injuries to Carlos Beltran (knee), Carlos Delgado (hip), Jose Reyes (calf) and Gary Sheffield (hamstring) will keep them out of the lineup.
Here are some Pure Profets trends to help with your play:
-Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
-Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
-Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 when opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Under is 8-0 in Braves last 8 games following a loss.
-Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Under is 9-2-1 in Braves last 12 games as a home favorite.
-Under is 8-0 in Vazquez's last 8 starts overall.
-Under is 9-1 in umpire Marvin Hudson's last 10 Sunday games behind home plate.
We see a good low scoring game here today and will play the best trending bet that is on the board.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
METS/BRAVES UNDER 8 1/2
*for more info and plays email us at pureprofets@gmail.com
Saturday, July 18, 2009
July 18 - Good starting pitching wins games.
It is a beautiful sunny Saturday here in New York. I was at the Yankees/Tigers game last night that had to go into a rain delay in the bottom of the 8th with the Yankees up 5-3, do to a severe thunderstorm. I waited a while but when the rain looked like it would never let up, I got out of there with 45,000 other fans. As I got home about an hour and a half later I put on the TV to see that they actually never called the game and Mariano Rivera had to come in to shut the Tigers down in the 9th. I am surprised they waited it out but those fans who stayed behind at least got to move up to the front rows to see future Hall of Famer Rivera get yet another save.
Tonight we will move to the central US in hopes of a game with no rain.
Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians
I think we are getting some real favorable odds here today as a last place team hosts a starting pitcher having a great year. The awful Indians are 36-55 on the season and have not been showing any signs of life even with Grady Sizemore coming back off the DL. They have dropped 19 of their last 26 games since mid-June while posting a 6.01 staff ERA in those games.
Tonight the tribe trots out Tomo Ohka (0-3, 6.40) who will again look for his first win since April 29, 2007. The right-hander was out of the majors last season and has been mostly ineffective this year. Ohka is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA in two starts against Seattle and hasn't faced them since 2001 while playing with Boston. he is another of those Japanese pitchers that looks pretty good for his first season but then proves to be pretty bad once teams have a scouting report on him. He allowed five runs in 3 2-3 innings of a 10-1 defeat to Detroit on Sunday.
Pitching for Seattle tonight on the other hand is comeback player Jarrod Washburn. Washburn (6-6, 2.96 ERA) lost at least 14 games in each of his first three years in Seattle, but he developed a new sinker coming into this season and has compiled the AL's fifth-best ERA at the All-Star break. He's been especially effective lately. After pitching a one-hit shutout against Baltimore on July 6, he allowed one run and four hits in seven innings of last Saturday's 4-1 win over Texas. He is in a contract year and is proving that he wants to be a high value free agent this off-season.
Some Pure Profets trends for you:
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
-Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Indians are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
-Indians are 0-4 in Ohkas last 4 starts.
-Indians are 0-4 in Ohkas last 4 starts.
-Mariners are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Starting pitching is a key element in baseball handicapping and profitable bettors will always ride the better pitcher in a game especially when the odds are not too heavy against him. We will jump on this train tonight and rely on Washburn to get us another victory.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
SEATTLE MARINERS -115
*for more info and picks email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
Friday, July 17, 2009
July 17 - Friday night and on a roll. Another MLB winner
Well we were at it again last night with a big win by the Milwaukee Brewers as the underdog. I love it when the bookmakers have the wrong team as the dog and it gives us an opportunity to make a nice profit. Prince fielder came through with a nice 3 run HR to get things started and the Brew Crew never looked back.
Prince hitting a HR in a video game just like yesterday
It's Friday night and every team is back to baseball after their All Star break. This gives us a lot of games to choose from, but as I said yesterday, there are some high odds out there scaring us away from some teams. Don't worry though, Pure Profets has found another winner for you that has some great line value.
Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics
Here we have a 1st place team being undervalued against a 4th place team in the same division just because of a couple of injuries. But they neglect the fact that players on good teams always seem to step up and shine when their teammates are unable to play. Los Angeles (50-37) is without Torii Hunter (strained adductor) and Vladimir Guerrero (strained knee), but has won four straight since the sluggers were placed on the disabled list last Friday. One key reason is the play of Kendry Morales who has six RBIs in the last four games and is on a 16 game hitting streak. Like I said, players step up.
The Oakland A's (37-50) lost for the 12th time in 18 games and continue to sputter offensively. The A's are last in the AL with a .245 batting average and their 363 runs are the third fewest in the league. This is not a good baseball team that has been relying on over-the-hill players that are just not getting it done. Jason Giambi is batting .191 on the season and will be replaced bu Nomar Garciaparra in tonight's game. Orlando Cabrera has been a decent hitter as of late but his fielding range is severely limited at his advanced age which is no help to a poor pitching staff. Rookie Trevor Cahill (5-8, 4.67), who is 0-3 with an 11.37 ERA in his last three outings takes the mound tonight. Cahill did not last past the fourth inning in the first two losses of that stretch, and gave up four runs over 5 1-3 innings July 8 in a 5-4 loss at Boston.
With the win last night, Los Angeles improved to 4-2 against Oakland this year and 3-0 on the road. The Angels scored 27 runs in those games. I see more of the same here.
Here of some of our Pure Profets trends for you to consider:
-Angels are 11-2 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
-Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games.
-Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
-Angels are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
-Athletics are 26-56 in their last 82 vs. a team with a winning record.
-A's are 16-36 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in the previous game.
-Angels are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oakland.
-Angels are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts vs. Athletics.
So lets continue the winning ride tonight.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
LOS ANGELES ANGELS +100
*for more info and picks email us at Pureprofets@gmail.com
Thursday, July 16, 2009
July 16 - Start the 2nd half with an underdog MLB winner!
Welcome back all. Baseball is back and the 2 days of year when there are no sports to wager on are past us (Those 2 days are the day before and the day after the MLB All Star break, good trivia question). This time of year is great to bet on baseball as top teams are usually heavily favored over teams that are flying low on the betting public's radar. This is a wonderful opportunity for some value betting.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
The Milwaukee Brewers were atop the NL Central with 10 games to go before the break. Unfortunately for them they ran into a stretch of good teams before the break facing the Cubs, Cardinals and hot Dodgers and only managing a 3-7 record and falling 2 1/2 games back of the Cards. This is fortunate for us because now they are undervalued against an inferior Cincinnati Reds team. Milwaukee should be able to turn things around with a favorable schedule over the next two weeks. After the Cincinnati series, the Brewers play Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Washington and San Diego. Those opponents own five of the seven worst records in the NL.
Milwaukee has had little trouble beating the Reds lately, outscoring Cincinnati 46-21 in winning five of the last six meetings.
Cincinnati was just two games out of first place July 4, but lost six of its next eight to fall five games behind the Cardinals. This is a cold team without much breakout potential. To open the second half, manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to young Homer Bailey (1-0, 5.16 ERA). He was just called up again from the minors on June 27th. Bailey will not be new to the Brewers though as he made two starts against them last season, going 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA. Fans are high on Homer Bailey but this is not a good spot for him.
Milwaukee counters with former Mets reliever turned starter, Braden Looper (7-4, 4.94). Looper has already won two home starts against the Reds this season. He gets the momentum of Prince Fielder's Home Run Derby win and also returning All Star Ryan Braun.
Here are some Pure Profets trends for you:
-Brewers are 6-1 in Loopers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
-Reds are 0-7 in Baileys last 7 home starts.
-Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
So lets take the value here and go with the better team as the dog just because they are away vs. a 'well promoted' young starting pitcher.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +115
(*offered at Pinnacle.com)
*for more info and picks email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
The Milwaukee Brewers were atop the NL Central with 10 games to go before the break. Unfortunately for them they ran into a stretch of good teams before the break facing the Cubs, Cardinals and hot Dodgers and only managing a 3-7 record and falling 2 1/2 games back of the Cards. This is fortunate for us because now they are undervalued against an inferior Cincinnati Reds team. Milwaukee should be able to turn things around with a favorable schedule over the next two weeks. After the Cincinnati series, the Brewers play Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Washington and San Diego. Those opponents own five of the seven worst records in the NL.
Milwaukee has had little trouble beating the Reds lately, outscoring Cincinnati 46-21 in winning five of the last six meetings.
Cincinnati was just two games out of first place July 4, but lost six of its next eight to fall five games behind the Cardinals. This is a cold team without much breakout potential. To open the second half, manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to young Homer Bailey (1-0, 5.16 ERA). He was just called up again from the minors on June 27th. Bailey will not be new to the Brewers though as he made two starts against them last season, going 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA. Fans are high on Homer Bailey but this is not a good spot for him.
Milwaukee counters with former Mets reliever turned starter, Braden Looper (7-4, 4.94). Looper has already won two home starts against the Reds this season. He gets the momentum of Prince Fielder's Home Run Derby win and also returning All Star Ryan Braun.
Here are some Pure Profets trends for you:
-Brewers are 6-1 in Loopers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
-Reds are 0-7 in Baileys last 7 home starts.
-Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
So lets take the value here and go with the better team as the dog just because they are away vs. a 'well promoted' young starting pitcher.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +115
(*offered at Pinnacle.com)
*for more info and picks email us at PureProfets@gmail.com
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
July 15 - All Star game recap. MVP?
Well I hope you all made some more money with our play in the American League in the MLB All Star game last night. Enjoy it but here we are. Another day with absolutely nothing to wager your hard earned winnings on, unless you can handicap WNBA women's basketball. Not for me. So lets talk about MLB All Star game.
Another good game that actually had everyone watching until the end. I am all for the game deciding which league has home field advantage in the World Series, even if that does mean it will always be the American League. The players seem to play harder, and the managers manage it like a real game (except for the annoying substitutions). How great was it to see Charlie Manuel give an intentional walk to Victor Martinez with a man on third base, and then have it backfire as 1st time All Star Adam Jones got the run in anyway with a deep sac fly to right.
Did you see Curtis Granderson's triple? Did you make the connection to the commercial that aired featuring Granderson hitting a triple and sliding into third with the same head first slide? Coincidence? I believe a triple is the most exciting play in baseball so it was good to see. Granderson could have even been awarded the MVP award for the big hit and then scoring the winning run. That honor went to Carl Crawford, who had only one little single on the day but perhaps saved the game with his home run robbing catch off the bat of Brad Hawpe in the seventh inning. Crawford became the first non-pitcher to win the MVP with no RBIs since Willie Mays in 1968.
Another good game that actually had everyone watching until the end. I am all for the game deciding which league has home field advantage in the World Series, even if that does mean it will always be the American League. The players seem to play harder, and the managers manage it like a real game (except for the annoying substitutions). How great was it to see Charlie Manuel give an intentional walk to Victor Martinez with a man on third base, and then have it backfire as 1st time All Star Adam Jones got the run in anyway with a deep sac fly to right.
Did you see Curtis Granderson's triple? Did you make the connection to the commercial that aired featuring Granderson hitting a triple and sliding into third with the same head first slide? Coincidence? I believe a triple is the most exciting play in baseball so it was good to see. Granderson could have even been awarded the MVP award for the big hit and then scoring the winning run. That honor went to Carl Crawford, who had only one little single on the day but perhaps saved the game with his home run robbing catch off the bat of Brad Hawpe in the seventh inning. Crawford became the first non-pitcher to win the MVP with no RBIs since Willie Mays in 1968.
Here is the catch!
I guess there was really no stand out star in the game, but a full team effort that led to a great game to watch that actually means something. The AL has come from behind in four straight years and in my eyes has proved to be the dominant league of the 00's.
We will be back tomorrow evening with some more baseball for you to gamble on. Till then, go spend some time with your family or something. There is only so much Sportscenter you can watch when there is not a sport to watch.Tuesday, July 14, 2009
July 14 - MLB All Star Game
The American League is on an 11 game winning streak in baseballs mid-summer classic. Why should this streak end now? The American League has stronger pitchers than their counterparts, and has always been known for its dominant hitters. The AL should win this one going away.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY
AMERICAN LEAGUE -120
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY
AMERICAN LEAGUE -120
Monday, July 13, 2009
Gambling on the Home Run Derby?
Back again. Sorry for not having a free pick for you sports fanatics yesterday. Sundays are tough as we have to get all our picks out to our clients early and most of the games started by 1:00 pm. (Way to early when there are night games the day before.) It is supposed to be a day of rest and we end up working the hardest.
Today is one of the rarest days in sports handicapping as there is not one game in any of the 4 major sports. So where can we find a gambling opportunity? Well there is always the home run derby.... I guess.
Albert Pujols is the favorite at +100. But why wouldn't he be? Pujols is dominating the league this year with 32 homers already, the Home Run derby is in his home stadium, and he was the runner-up in 2003 and reached the semi-finals in 2007. Albert has never reached the 50 homer plateau in a season but is on pace for 59 this year in what could be the campaign of his career.
Ryan Howard is the second pick and likely only real challenger. Howard did win the Home Run derby in 2006 and host St. Louis is his hometown so of course he will want to put on a show for these fans. He is capable of a huge performance even in a down year on pace to hit only 42 homers after 3 seasons in a row with 47+. Howard is listed at +300 on many betting sites.
Another possibility would be Prince Fielder. he did hit 50 HR's in 2007 but slipped to 34 last year. This season he is on pace for over 40 dingers. he appeared in the 2007 derby but was eliminated in the first round. He is young though at only 25 and still evolving. He is listed at +500 by some bookmakers.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
So to sum it up, if you need action (like we all do) it depends on what kind of bettor you are. If you like betting safe favorites, Albert Pujols is a very solid bet and one I would make with no qualms. If you prefer to put some risk in your bets for the promise of a higher payout I feel Prince Fielder has a legitimate shot if he doesn't blow his wad too early and tire out his rather large frame. At +500 he is a worthy bet to add some action and possibly a nice payday to your betting bankroll.
Today is one of the rarest days in sports handicapping as there is not one game in any of the 4 major sports. So where can we find a gambling opportunity? Well there is always the home run derby.... I guess.
Albert Pujols is the favorite at +100. But why wouldn't he be? Pujols is dominating the league this year with 32 homers already, the Home Run derby is in his home stadium, and he was the runner-up in 2003 and reached the semi-finals in 2007. Albert has never reached the 50 homer plateau in a season but is on pace for 59 this year in what could be the campaign of his career.
Ryan Howard is the second pick and likely only real challenger. Howard did win the Home Run derby in 2006 and host St. Louis is his hometown so of course he will want to put on a show for these fans. He is capable of a huge performance even in a down year on pace to hit only 42 homers after 3 seasons in a row with 47+. Howard is listed at +300 on many betting sites.
Another possibility would be Prince Fielder. he did hit 50 HR's in 2007 but slipped to 34 last year. This season he is on pace for over 40 dingers. he appeared in the 2007 derby but was eliminated in the first round. He is young though at only 25 and still evolving. He is listed at +500 by some bookmakers.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:
So to sum it up, if you need action (like we all do) it depends on what kind of bettor you are. If you like betting safe favorites, Albert Pujols is a very solid bet and one I would make with no qualms. If you prefer to put some risk in your bets for the promise of a higher payout I feel Prince Fielder has a legitimate shot if he doesn't blow his wad too early and tire out his rather large frame. At +500 he is a worthy bet to add some action and possibly a nice payday to your betting bankroll.
Enjoy the show and feel free to share your thoughts. For more info and picks email us at pureprofets@gmail.com
Saturday, July 11, 2009
July 11th- Keeping the winning streak alive in MLB handicapping
Another winning baseball pick for free for you yesterday. The Rangers Scott Feldman tried to scare us by giving up 2 runs in the 1st inning but that was all he gave up as he had another quality start to get the win. His Texas teammates picked up the slack, 6 runs, and got him and, our followers, the victory.
Of course Pure Profets has another free winner for you today as we find another game where the odds are way too good for us.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
Here we get another great starting pitcher that the betting public has not picked up on yet. The Toronto Blue Jays Ricky Romero (7-3, 2.96 ERA) has been very impressive in his rookie season especially after coming back from a strained oblique early in the season. Over his last seven outings Romero has gone 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA.
We should see more of the same today against a Baltimore Orioles team that has struggled mightily against lefties this season, averaging just 4 runs per game and a batting average right above .200
Baltimore on the other hand has to turn to Rich Hill (3-2, 7.43) with Jeremy Guthrie suffering from a viral infection and out for the game. The Orioles were planning to let Hill skip his final start before the All-Star game and get evaluated by some doctors. Something is wrong with him as he is 0-1 with a 13.15 ERA in his last three outings. He also gave up six earned runs over 3 1/3 innings back on May 27 against these same Blue Jays.
Baltimore will also be without manager Dave Trembley, who is finishing up a two-game suspension for his actions following an ejection Tuesday in Seattle. This just makes it easier for our pick.
A few more winning trends for you:
-Blue Jays are 5-0 in Romero's last 5 starts.
-Orioles are 14-42 in their last 56 vs. American League East.
-Blue Jays are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.
-Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games with umpire Mike DiMuro behind home plate.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
TORONTO BLUE JAYS - 115 (at Sportsbook.com)
*for more info and picks email us at pureprofets@gmail.com
Of course Pure Profets has another free winner for you today as we find another game where the odds are way too good for us.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
Here we get another great starting pitcher that the betting public has not picked up on yet. The Toronto Blue Jays Ricky Romero (7-3, 2.96 ERA) has been very impressive in his rookie season especially after coming back from a strained oblique early in the season. Over his last seven outings Romero has gone 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA.
We should see more of the same today against a Baltimore Orioles team that has struggled mightily against lefties this season, averaging just 4 runs per game and a batting average right above .200
Baltimore on the other hand has to turn to Rich Hill (3-2, 7.43) with Jeremy Guthrie suffering from a viral infection and out for the game. The Orioles were planning to let Hill skip his final start before the All-Star game and get evaluated by some doctors. Something is wrong with him as he is 0-1 with a 13.15 ERA in his last three outings. He also gave up six earned runs over 3 1/3 innings back on May 27 against these same Blue Jays.
Baltimore will also be without manager Dave Trembley, who is finishing up a two-game suspension for his actions following an ejection Tuesday in Seattle. This just makes it easier for our pick.
A few more winning trends for you:
-Blue Jays are 5-0 in Romero's last 5 starts.
-Orioles are 14-42 in their last 56 vs. American League East.
-Blue Jays are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.
-Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games with umpire Mike DiMuro behind home plate.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
TORONTO BLUE JAYS - 115 (at Sportsbook.com)
*for more info and picks email us at pureprofets@gmail.com
Friday, July 10, 2009
July 10th - Another free baseball winner for you.
Well it wasn't quite the way we expected it but we won again yesterday with our free pick. Some early errors led to a high scoring baseball game but the Florida Marlins put up a huge 10 run inning for us and we will take it to the bank. I say it again, baseball is a great but crazy sport to bet on. Tonight we have another free sports pick for you as we find some baseball value again.
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
Here we have a gambling opportunity where we get to take more than just stats into the betting equation. Baseball, in particular, is more than just a game of stats due to the fact that teams play just about every day for a long 162 game season. Trends, momentum, fatigue, and letdowns have to be carefully considered in every baseball handicapping decision.
The Mariners avoided a third straight loss and beat Texas for the first time in six tries this season due to the late inning heroics of Franklin Gutierrez and his 3-run homer in the 8th. When your team is counting on this it is not a good recipe for success. The Mariners also have Beltre, Betancourt, and Sweeney currently on the DL. Where is their hitting going to come from? Gutierrez? C'mon!
The Texas Rangers send out Scott Feldman who is having a very good season while remaining under the radar. Feldman has a 7-2 record on the season with an ERA under 4.00
The Mariners have to rely on converted reliever Brandon Morrow to get them through this game. He does not have a win on the season as a starter or reliever. Texas is a great hitting team and will pounce on him early and often.
Here are some trends to consider:
Rangers are 9-1 in their last 10 Friday games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Rangers are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with Seattle. (1st loss coming yesterday)
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 1-4 in Morrows last 5 starts.
Mariners are 0-5 in Morrows last 5 starts as an underdog.
With all this to take into account I think we see a major letdown from the Mariners tonight and the Texas Rangers getting back to their winning ways as they try to increase their lead in the division while the 2nd place Angels are in NY playing the Yankees.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY IF THE DAY:
TEXAS RANGERS - 110
*for more info and picks email us direct at pureprofets@gmail.com
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
Here we have a gambling opportunity where we get to take more than just stats into the betting equation. Baseball, in particular, is more than just a game of stats due to the fact that teams play just about every day for a long 162 game season. Trends, momentum, fatigue, and letdowns have to be carefully considered in every baseball handicapping decision.
The Mariners avoided a third straight loss and beat Texas for the first time in six tries this season due to the late inning heroics of Franklin Gutierrez and his 3-run homer in the 8th. When your team is counting on this it is not a good recipe for success. The Mariners also have Beltre, Betancourt, and Sweeney currently on the DL. Where is their hitting going to come from? Gutierrez? C'mon!
The Texas Rangers send out Scott Feldman who is having a very good season while remaining under the radar. Feldman has a 7-2 record on the season with an ERA under 4.00
The Mariners have to rely on converted reliever Brandon Morrow to get them through this game. He does not have a win on the season as a starter or reliever. Texas is a great hitting team and will pounce on him early and often.
Here are some trends to consider:
Rangers are 9-1 in their last 10 Friday games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Rangers are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with Seattle. (1st loss coming yesterday)
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 1-4 in Morrows last 5 starts.
Mariners are 0-5 in Morrows last 5 starts as an underdog.
With all this to take into account I think we see a major letdown from the Mariners tonight and the Texas Rangers getting back to their winning ways as they try to increase their lead in the division while the 2nd place Angels are in NY playing the Yankees.
PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY IF THE DAY:
TEXAS RANGERS - 110
*for more info and picks email us direct at pureprofets@gmail.com
Thursday, July 9, 2009
July 9th - MLB value play of the day
We have a great play for you tonight to make some gambling profits. Baseball is an easy game to handicap when you look at the lines and odds that bookmakers put up sometimes. Search for value in all your plays and eliminate laying higher odds than you need to.
Florida Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks
The Florida Marlins open a four-game series on Thursday night against the surging Arizona Diamondbacks, who are looking to extend their longest winning streak of the season to six games. But they may be running into a buzzsaw in a strong Florida Marlin baseball team that has Hanley Ramirez back in their lineup after a four game absence.
Yusmeiro Petit (0-3, 8.46 ERA) will try to extend Arizona's recent success after struggling in his first start in nearly two months his last time out. Petit gave up four runs and five hits in the three innings he lasted against Colorado on Saturday. Arizona did go on to win the game 11-7 saving Petit from adding yet another loss to his 0-3 record on the season.
For the Marlins we have Andrew Miller taking the mound. He is 1-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three career starts against the Diamondbacks. He pitched seven innings against them on May 21, allowing two runs and four hits over seven innings with nine strikeouts, but didn't factor in the 4-3 loss.
Here are some team stats for you to consider:
-Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
-Marlins are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass.
-Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
-Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Bottom Line: Florida is a much better team than Arizona when they have Hanley Ramirez in the lineup, and Miller is a much better pitcher than Petit. The Diamondbacks can't stay hot for that long and are due for a huge letdown game.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
Florida Marlins +101
*always search for the best odds out there, especially in baseball. Get +101 on the Marlins at Pinnacle and Bet Phoenix
-email us today for more info and picks at pureprofets@gmail.com
Florida Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks
The Florida Marlins open a four-game series on Thursday night against the surging Arizona Diamondbacks, who are looking to extend their longest winning streak of the season to six games. But they may be running into a buzzsaw in a strong Florida Marlin baseball team that has Hanley Ramirez back in their lineup after a four game absence.
Yusmeiro Petit (0-3, 8.46 ERA) will try to extend Arizona's recent success after struggling in his first start in nearly two months his last time out. Petit gave up four runs and five hits in the three innings he lasted against Colorado on Saturday. Arizona did go on to win the game 11-7 saving Petit from adding yet another loss to his 0-3 record on the season.
For the Marlins we have Andrew Miller taking the mound. He is 1-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three career starts against the Diamondbacks. He pitched seven innings against them on May 21, allowing two runs and four hits over seven innings with nine strikeouts, but didn't factor in the 4-3 loss.
Here are some team stats for you to consider:
-Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
-Marlins are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass.
-Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
-Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
-Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Bottom Line: Florida is a much better team than Arizona when they have Hanley Ramirez in the lineup, and Miller is a much better pitcher than Petit. The Diamondbacks can't stay hot for that long and are due for a huge letdown game.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:
Florida Marlins +101
*always search for the best odds out there, especially in baseball. Get +101 on the Marlins at Pinnacle and Bet Phoenix
-email us today for more info and picks at pureprofets@gmail.com
Tuesday, July 7, 2009
We're back !!!
Ok so we took a little blogging break to get focused on the business side of making money in sports betting.... and we did pretty damn well. Business is booming, profits are booming, and we are booming with joy to share our secrets with even more people that want to make money gambling on sports.
Over the next couple of days we will get back to daily blogging and giving you our Pure Profets Play Of The Day. Enjoy and spread the word. Let's help everyone get back at their booking.
Over the next couple of days we will get back to daily blogging and giving you our Pure Profets Play Of The Day. Enjoy and spread the word. Let's help everyone get back at their booking.
Saturday, April 4, 2009
April 4th - Pure Profets Play of the Day
We have been handicapping these Final Four match-ups all week for you and have the winner ready.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
Somehow Michigan State is still being overlooked even after a great tournament run and another phenomenal coaching job of Tom Izzo. The Spartans defense has been strong all season and even stronger in the tourney holding 3 of 4 teams under 62 points, including holding the high powered Louisville offense to only 52! Coach Izzo has been even better against the Big East style of play winning his last 6 tournament games vs. the powerful conference. This team has been super motivated to get to the Final Four for the chance to play basically a home game at Ford Field in Detroit. With the crowd expected to be fired up for ‘their’ team we don’t see that motivation slowing down now.
Connecticut is a great team, no doubt. Future NBA players Hasheem Thabeet and A.J Price have played hard and looked great. The tournament has taken its toll on this team with Jerome Dyson out with a hurt knee, Thabeet playing with a bad finger, and Jeff Adrien nursing a knee injury as well. The UConn might not be able to keep up their usual style of play with these injuries as well as a staunch defense by Mich. St.
Here are a few Pure Profets Trends for you to live by:
Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Spartans are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Huskies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
This should be a great game with defense leading the way. With those factors in place you have to take the points and the Michigan State Spartans.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS MICHIGAN STATE + 4 1/2
-for more winning plays email us direct at PureProfets@gmail.com
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
Somehow Michigan State is still being overlooked even after a great tournament run and another phenomenal coaching job of Tom Izzo. The Spartans defense has been strong all season and even stronger in the tourney holding 3 of 4 teams under 62 points, including holding the high powered Louisville offense to only 52! Coach Izzo has been even better against the Big East style of play winning his last 6 tournament games vs. the powerful conference. This team has been super motivated to get to the Final Four for the chance to play basically a home game at Ford Field in Detroit. With the crowd expected to be fired up for ‘their’ team we don’t see that motivation slowing down now.
Connecticut is a great team, no doubt. Future NBA players Hasheem Thabeet and A.J Price have played hard and looked great. The tournament has taken its toll on this team with Jerome Dyson out with a hurt knee, Thabeet playing with a bad finger, and Jeff Adrien nursing a knee injury as well. The UConn might not be able to keep up their usual style of play with these injuries as well as a staunch defense by Mich. St.
Here are a few Pure Profets Trends for you to live by:
Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Spartans are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Huskies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
This should be a great game with defense leading the way. With those factors in place you have to take the points and the Michigan State Spartans.
PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS MICHIGAN STATE + 4 1/2
-for more winning plays email us direct at PureProfets@gmail.com
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
April 1 - Pure Profets Play of the Day
Another big win last night with Portland. Easy cover. Tonight’s card looks a little tough. Not many good games on the board. In times like this we have always been successful finding a line that is too big based on early season play and take the big points with a dog playing well lately.
Charlotte Bobcats @ Boston Celtics
Don’t look now but the Bobcats have been playing well as of late winning their last 3 including a big double digit win over the Lakers last night. The hungry Bobcats continue their drive to be in the postseason. Charlotte has won six of its last eight games and without doubt will give the Celtics a tough fight tonight. Charlotte has been an undervalued team in the linesmakers eyes all season posting an ATS record of 44-29-1 this year. Coach Larry Brown has a knack for getting his teams to play well at the end of the season especially when the team is viewed as a big dog. Charlotte upset Boston 114-106 as a 9.5-point home dog in January, and Charlotte is 11-2 ATS its last 13 vs. the Celtics since the 2005 season.
The Celtics have the Eastern Atlantic division and their playoff spot locked up already and has been playing a little lackadasical of late. Kevin Garnett is shut down for the season and the Celtics do not have that good a defense without him in the middle. Expect Boston to give their stars some rest as the season draws to a close.
This will be a tighter game than the bookmakers think and Charlotte will keep it close as they continue their end of the season surge. A good showing here would mean a lot to this team. We will take the big points and enjoy a close game.
Here are a couple of our famous Pure Profets trends for you to consider:
Underdog is 12-0 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these teams.
Bobcats are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.
Bobcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Celtics are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
PURE PROFETS PLAY IS CHARLOTTE +9
For more winning picks and analysis email us direct at PureProfets@gmail.com
Lets keep beating up the bookies!
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
March 31- Pure Profets Play of The Day
Utah Jazz @ Portland Trailblazers
Here we get a nice opportunity to wager against a team that remains to be overvalued by the betting public. Therefore we get a nice line to play. These teams are both very good teams at home while just not being able to get it done on the road. These teams are both in the hunt for the top Western playoff spot so the need for a win is there.
Of all of the Western Conference teams still in the playoff hunt, the Jazz have the worst road record of them all at 14-21. Recenlty they have been playing just plain bad, even when getting wins vs. teams like the lowly Knicks last night. The Jazz was up 23 at one point and let the Knicks take the lead in the 4th quarter. They did squeak out the win but it was very uninspiring. This falls into another trap for Utah. Playing 2 days in a row is horrific for Utah as they are 3-14 this season when this situation has come up.
Portland is now 30-7 at home this season, and a solid 15-2 in their last 17 games at the Rose Garden. There last 2 were 20 point victories so we don’t see much problem covering the spread here. Portland has been playing good ball and has momentum on their side. The Blazers are 12-4 ATS this season coming off a home win by 10 points or more so they have used momentum very effectively. They are also 16-4 ATS in home games after two or more wins over the last two years and that once again shows the momentum working in their favor.
I don’t get why the line is only Portland -6 here. The line was Portland -9 the last time the two played at the Rose Garden and the Blazers won by 14. Lets grab it low and ride a hot team to the bank.
Here are some of Pure Profets famous trends for you to follow:
Jazz are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Jazz are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
Lets play these facts and beat up our sports books once again.
PURE PROFETS PLAY IS PORTLAND -6
Sunday, March 29, 2009
March 29th Pure Profets Play Of The Day
Another Over/Under winner last night. Lets keep the train rolling.
We would love to give everyone a play on the NCAA basketball games today but we found an opportunity in the NHL that we would hate for you to miss. We have an NHL total that fits into one of our systems that does not present itself too often, but when it does it has provided a truly impressive winning percentage.
Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers
There is a great match-up tonight between two of the top powerhouses in the Eastern Conference. The Bruin’s leading scorer, Phil Kessel is expected to miss a second consecutive game with an undisclosed injury, but his teammates responded in his absence last night with a 7-5 win in Toronto. People tend to forget about the defense through offense that Kessel provides. Boston needed to change their style to a more high paced game to defeat Toronto and I feel we can see that again tonight.
The Flyers had a tough game yesterday themselves rallying for a 4-3 shootout victory last night against the Islanders. Trailing by two entering the third period, Philadelphia scored three straight goals but allowed the Islanders to tie it at 3-3 before prevailing in the tiebreaker.
That is two tough, long, and high flying games these teams had yesterday. This leads to nothing but slow defense and more high scores.
Look at some of the trends for the O/U in this game:
- Over is 7-1 in Bruins last 8 games following a win.
- Over is 9-2 in Bruins last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 11-5 in Bruins last 16 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Flyers last 7 vs. Northeast.
- Over is 21-8-1 in Flyers last 30 home games.
And my personal favorites:
- Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 8-2 in Flyers last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
It looks like another high scoring affair between these two teams so we will play the Over with confidence.
PURE PROFETS PLAY IS BRUINS/FLYERS OVER 5 1/2
Happy gambling and get in touch with us today at PureProfets@gmail.com for more winners and analysis.
PS. If you need an NCAA play we are leaning toward UNDER 164 1/2 in the N. Carolina/Oklahoma game
Saturday, March 28, 2009
March 28 - Pure Profets Play Of The Day
Missouri Tigers vs. Connecticut Huskies
This looks to be the game of the day as 2 great teams that have been playing inspired basketball come together in a clash for a trip to Detroit and the Final Four.
Both teams know how to score. Missouri is ranked 4th in overall scoring with 81.7 ppg. The Tigers just dismantled a talented Memphis team by running up and down the court on them. All five Mizzou starters scored in double figures as the Tigers shot 53.2 percent to break the century mark against the nation’s seventh-ranked scoring defense (58.8 ppg) and No. 1-ranked shooting defense (37.2 percent) winning 102-91. Huskies coach Jim Calhoun agrees as he said “What Missouri did to that defense is absolutely astounding. “They advertise it as the 40 fastest minutes in basketball and I’m a believer.”
Connecticut is no slouch in the scoring department either, averaging 78.4 ppg, good enough for the 17th ranked offense in the country. With tremendous 7′3″ center Haseem Thabeet tapping in a ton of easy points under the basket and UConn’s rebounding, ranked #1 the country, we see a ton of points in this game.
The over for Missouri is on a plethora of hot streaks, including 9-1 in the Tournament, 15-7 in non-conference clashes, 7-0 with the Tigers catching points in the Tournament and 8-2 when the Tigers are a neutral-site ‘dog’. UConn is also on a bundle of “over” runs, including 6-1 in the Tournament, 4-0 against the Big 12, 21-8 on neutral floors and 14-4 as a neutral-site chalk.
We see a fun game to watch as they run up and down the floor piling up the points.
PURE PROFETS PLAY IS MISSOURI/UCONN OVER 150
Email us direct for more plays at: PureProfets@gmail.comFriday, March 27, 2009
March 27th Pure Profets Play of The Day
Syracuse Orange vs. Oklahoma Sooners
There is no hotter team in the tournament right now than the Orange. They went on an inspired run in the Big East tourney and have peaked at the perfect time of year. The Orange have lost just once in their last 10 games and that just happened to be to top overall seed Louisville in the Big East Championship game. That game was also their 3rd in 3 nights including 7 overtime periods! They actually were leading Louisville at the half but ran out of steam down the stretch. You have to give them a little slack for wear and tear in that one.
Oklahoma does have a future NBA star in Blake Griffin but their talent depth ends there. After his injury toward the end of the regular season the Sooners went 2-6, even with Griffin playing in 4 of those games. Griffin’s biggest strength is his rebounding, but he will be hard pressed against a Syracuse team that is 15th in the nation in rebounds. Syracuse also plays solid 2-3 zone which will limit any presence inside.
Syracuse has a great, if underrated, guard in Johnny Flynn and Oklahoma will have no answer for his up tempo game. Oklahoma’s guards are inexperienced and turnover prone including 21 against Mizzou, 19 against Oklahoma State, and even 15 against Morgan State in the 1st round of the tourney. Huge edge here for the Orange.
Let’s also look at head coaching. Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim vs. Oklahoma’s Jeff Capel. Boeheim has much more experience and has always been a big game coach. Capel is good but unproven in big games like this as was exposed in the Sooners Big 12 season with loses to Texas, Kansas, and the same Mizzou team that Syracuse beat. Edge here goes to the Orange.
We can also look at the conference comparison in this matchup. If you haven’t realize that the Big East is the cream of the crop this year you must be living under a rock. Look at the top teams in this tourney and you will see that Syracuse played against much better competition than Oklahoma all season long. Syracuse has wins over Memphis, UConn, Marquette, Kansas and West Virginia to name a few. These Big East battles make the Orange a tested team ready to take the next step.
The smart money has been coming in on Syracuse in this game moving them from 1 point dogs to 1 point faves. We will follow the smart money all the way to the bank on this one.
PURE PROFETS PLAY ON SYRACUSE ORANGE -1
*for more plays and analysis email us direct at: PureProfets@gmail.com
Thursday, March 26, 2009
March 26th - Pure Profets Play of the Day
NCAA Basketball
MEMPHIS / MISSOURI TOTAL OVER 141
MEMPHIS / MISSOURI TOTAL OVER 141
Missouri is a team that likes to push the ball as they come in averaging 81.5 ppg (5th in Nation) on 47.3% shooting (33rd). Memphis is also a solid scoring team, as they average 74.7 ppg (60th), including averaging 73.8 in their neutral site games and 71.8 ppg in their last 5 overall.
Memphis has one of the best defenses in the nation as they allow just 57.6 ppg overall but they have allowed 70 points in each of their 1st 2 tourney games and neither of those teams possessed the offense that Missouri has. Look for both teams to push the ball and do what they do best SCORE. Both teams are more than capable of hitting 70 in this one, and that will make it an easy over here. Easily in the 150’s.
PURE PROFETS PLAY IS:
MISSOURI/MEMPHIS OVER 141
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