Friday, August 7, 2009

Aug 7 - Look for Starting Pitchers who historically dominate a team

Not much time tonight but I wanted to get you a free pick that we feel strongly about.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

The fact that Tampa Bay has been playing good baseball is the only thing that has kept this line down. The fact that they are traveling across the country to play against a pitcher they have not been good against will not help them though.

Fantastic Felix Hernandez (12-4, 2.78 ERA) is on the hill for Seattle tonight. The All-Star right-hander allowed four hits in seven innings of a 1-0 victory over Tampa Bay on April 23, to improve to 2-1 with a 2.15 ERA in six starts against the Rays. The Mariners have won 5 of the 6 games he has started against the Rays.

The Mariners send rookie Jeff Niemann to the mound. He has had a decent season so far but this is about the time that rookies start to wear down from the effects of a long major league baseball season. We also like the under in this game.

Some quick trends:
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Mariners are 10-3 in their last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Rays are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Mariners are 6-0 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandezs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 9-1 in Hernandezs last 10 starts.

Sorry for the short analysis but -

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

SEATTLE MARINERS - 125
-BONUS PLAY - TAKE UNDER 8 IN THE GAME

enjoy your winnings. email us at pureprofets@gmail.com for more.

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