Monday, July 13, 2009

Gambling on the Home Run Derby?

Back again. Sorry for not having a free pick for you sports fanatics yesterday. Sundays are tough as we have to get all our picks out to our clients early and most of the games started by 1:00 pm. (Way to early when there are night games the day before.) It is supposed to be a day of rest and we end up working the hardest.

Today is one of the rarest days in sports handicapping as there is not one game in any of the 4 major sports. So where can we find a gambling opportunity? Well there is always the home run derby.... I guess.

Albert Pujols is the favorite at +100. But why wouldn't he be? Pujols is dominating the league this year with 32 homers already, the Home Run derby is in his home stadium, and he was the runner-up in 2003 and reached the semi-finals in 2007. Albert has never reached the 50 homer plateau in a season but is on pace for 59 this year in what could be the campaign of his career.

Ryan Howard is the second pick and likely only real challenger. Howard did win the Home Run derby in 2006 and host St. Louis is his hometown so of course he will want to put on a show for these fans. He is capable of a huge performance even in a down year on pace to hit only 42 homers after 3 seasons in a row with 47+. Howard is listed at +300 on many betting sites.

Another possibility would be Prince Fielder. he did hit 50 HR's in 2007 but slipped to 34 last year. This season he is on pace for over 40 dingers. he appeared in the 2007 derby but was eliminated in the first round. He is young though at only 25 and still evolving. He is listed at +500 by some bookmakers.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

So to sum it up, if you need action (like we all do) it depends on what kind of bettor you are. If you like betting safe favorites, Albert Pujols is a very solid bet and one I would make with no qualms. If you prefer to put some risk in your bets for the promise of a higher payout I feel Prince Fielder has a legitimate shot if he doesn't blow his wad too early and tire out his rather large frame. At +500 he is a worthy bet to add some action and possibly a nice payday to your betting bankroll.


Enjoy the show and feel free to share your thoughts. For more info and picks email us at pureprofets@gmail.com

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