Wednesday, July 29, 2009

July 29 - Look for 2 teams that are solid Under plays, playing against eachother

The winning continues, but of course betting on baseball always makes it interesting. We were counting on Roy Oswalt of the Astros to get us late into the game keeping the Cubs off the board. Unlucky for all he had to be taken out of the game in the second inning with a back injury and is now headed for the DL. The game turned into a high scoring one but the hot Astros got us plenty of runs to get the win and our free advice has fattened our followers wallets once again. Tonight we look at 2 more good pitchers and will look to bet on the Over/Under spread.

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers

Sometimes they make it easy and we look straight to the Total instead of betting a side. No team plays below the total more than the Detroit Tigers - except the Texas Rangers. The total has been Under in Detroit's last seven games, during which the Tigers are averaging only 2.6 runs. Longer trends include 15 of the last 17 and 21 of the last 25 going under the total. Overall, the under is 61-35-2 in Detroit's games this season. Sounds great for an under but that is only the second-best mark.

In games involving the Texas Rangers this season the Under is 61-32-4. Texas is averaging just 3.6 runs in its last 12 games, and the under is 11-0-1 in that stretch. Since June 5th, Rangers games have had a 33-10-1 mark for the Under. Great trends.


Tonight it only gets better as we have a mound matchup of Justin Verlander and Scott Feldman. Two starting pitchers who have not given up more than three earned runs since July 1st. Verlander (11-5, 3.12 ERA) is 2-1 with an 0.78 ERA in his last three starts. He pitched his third complete game of the season Friday against the White Sox, allowing only one unearned run and six hits in the 5-1 victory. The Tigers have won both of Verlander's starts against the Rangers this season and his record is 1-0 in those outings with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched. This improves his record to 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last five starts against these Texas Rangers.

For the Rangers we get Scott Feldman (9-3, 3.59). The right-hander has compiled a 2.48 ERA while winning four of his last five starts. He pitched eight innings against Kansas City last Friday, allowing just four hits in a 2-0 victory. On offense the Rangers look to be without Ian Kinsler who had to be removed from the game yesterday with a hamstring injury.

If you need any more trends:

-Under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.
-Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
-Under is 5-1 in Verlanders last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 24-4-2 in Rangers last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Under is 8-1 in Feldmans last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
-Under is 6-1 in Feldmans last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
-Under is 11-2 in Feldmans last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

This is just too much to ignore and we will take the generous 8 1/2 number.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

TEXAS RANGERS/DETROIT TIGERS UNDER 8 1/2


*for more info and plays email PureProfets@gmail.com


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