Tuesday, July 21, 2009

July 21 - Searching for value in MLB odds

We get another win to add to the streak. Our baseball total bet got a little interesting when Mets starting pitcher Nieve got hurt running out a ground ball in the 2nd inning and had to be removed from the game. The Mets bullpen proceeded to give up 6 runs to make it interesting, but Braves starter Javier Vazquez held up his end and only allowed one run on the night keeping the total under 8 1/2 for us to cash another bet. We are glad you have been following our plays and winning, now TELL YOUR FRIENDS!

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros

Scrolling through the odds today we see a lot of big money lines that as you have already learned we like to stay away from. Baseball is sometimes a little too unpredictable to lay big money even with a very good baseball team. On the other hand when you find a big underdog that is a great team and rarely a dog at all, you have to jump on it.

The St. Louis Cardinals are a 1st place team in the NL Central and are somehow getting a money line of +145 at some bookmakers. That is too good of a chance to pass up. Throw in the fact that the Cards have 2 time MVP Albert Pujols on their side and I can't see why they are so undervalued here. Pujols is having a career season, leading MLB with 34 HRs and 90 RBIs. He was only 1 for 3 with a single in yesterday's loss which is a bad day for him. He rarely has 2 underperforming days in a row. Starter Todd Wellemeyer (7-7, 5.56) is well rested and will make his first start in almost two weeks for St. Louis. Facing Houston for the first time this season, Wellemeyer has pitched well against them in the past with a 1.42 ERA in three starts versus the Astros lifetime.

The Astros are 3rd in the NL Central, 3 games behind the Cardinals after last nights 3-2 win. Tonight they bring Wandy Rodriguez (9-6 2.81 ERA) to the hill who has been pitching good but way over his head lately. Wandy has a career ERA of 4.46 and has only had one winning season in his career as of yet. I feel the Cardinals bring him back down to his usual role as a serviceable but average starting pitcher tonight. Lets take the long odds and get a big payday.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY:

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +145

*for more info and plays email us at PureProfets@gmail.com

No comments:

Post a Comment