Friday, July 10, 2009

July 10th - Another free baseball winner for you.

Well it wasn't quite the way we expected it but we won again yesterday with our free pick. Some early errors led to a high scoring baseball game but the Florida Marlins put up a huge 10 run inning for us and we will take it to the bank. I say it again, baseball is a great but crazy sport to bet on. Tonight we have another free sports pick for you as we find some baseball value again.

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

Here we have a gambling opportunity where we get to take more than just stats into the betting equation. Baseball, in particular, is more than just a game of stats due to the fact that teams play just about every day for a long 162 game season. Trends, momentum, fatigue, and letdowns have to be carefully considered in every baseball handicapping decision.

The Mariners avoided a third straight loss and beat Texas for the first time in six tries this season due to the late inning heroics of Franklin Gutierrez and his 3-run homer in the 8th. When your team is counting on this it is not a good recipe for success. The Mariners also have Beltre, Betancourt, and Sweeney currently on the DL. Where is their hitting going to come from? Gutierrez? C'mon!

The Texas Rangers send out Scott Feldman who is having a very good season while remaining under the radar. Feldman has a 7-2 record on the season with an ERA under 4.00
The Mariners have to rely on converted reliever Brandon Morrow to get them through this game. He does not have a win on the season as a starter or reliever. Texas is a great hitting team and will pounce on him early and often.

Here are some trends to consider:

Rangers are 9-1 in their last 10 Friday games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
Rangers are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League West.
Rangers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with Seattle. (1st loss coming yesterday)
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Mariners are 1-4 in Morrows last 5 starts.
Mariners are 0-5 in Morrows last 5 starts as an underdog.

With all this to take into account I think we see a major letdown from the Mariners tonight and the Texas Rangers getting back to their winning ways as they try to increase their lead in the division while the 2nd place Angels are in NY playing the Yankees.

PURE PROFETS FREE PLAY IF THE DAY:
TEXAS RANGERS - 110

*for more info and picks email us direct at pureprofets@gmail.com

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