July 16 - Start the 2nd half with an underdog MLB winner!

Welcome back all. Baseball is back and the 2 days of year when there are no sports to wager on are past us (Those 2 days are the day before and the day after the MLB All Star break, good trivia question). This time of year is great to bet on baseball as top teams are usually heavily favored over teams that are flying low on the betting public's radar. This is a wonderful opportunity for some value betting.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

The Milwaukee Brewers were atop the NL Central with 10 games to go before the break. Unfortunately for them they ran into a stretch of good teams before the break facing the Cubs, Cardinals and hot Dodgers and only managing a 3-7 record and falling 2 1/2 games back of the Cards. This is fortunate for us because now they are undervalued against an inferior Cincinnati Reds team. Milwaukee should be able to turn things around with a favorable schedule over the next two weeks. After the Cincinnati series, the Brewers play Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Washington and San Diego. Those opponents own five of the seven worst records in the NL.

Milwaukee has had little trouble beating the Reds lately, outscoring Cincinnati 46-21 in winning five of the last six meetings.

Cincinnati was just two games out of first place July 4, but lost six of its next eight to fall five games behind the Cardinals. This is a cold team without much breakout potential. To open the second half, manager Dusty Baker gives the ball to young Homer Bailey (1-0, 5.16 ERA). He was just called up again from the minors on June 27th. Bailey will not be new to the Brewers though as he made two starts against them last season, going 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA. Fans are high on Homer Bailey but this is not a good spot for him.

Milwaukee counters with former Mets reliever turned starter, Braden Looper (7-4, 4.94). Looper has already won two home starts against the Reds this season. He gets the momentum of Prince Fielder's Home Run Derby win and also returning All Star Ryan Braun.

Here are some Pure Profets trends for you:
-Brewers are 6-1 in Loopers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
-Reds are 0-7 in Baileys last 7 home starts.
-Reds are 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
-Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

So lets take the value here and go with the better team as the dog just because they are away vs. a 'well promoted' young starting pitcher.

PURE PROFETS PLAY OF THE DAY IS:

MILWAUKEE BREWERS +115
(*offered at Pinnacle.com)

*for more info and picks email us at PureProfets@gmail.com